Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
The questions drawing the most money on Polymarket and Kalshi right now, on one board. Each row leads with the outcome the market favours, how far its odds moved in the last day, and what it costs to trade: the best bid and ask, and the gap between them.
| # | Market | Venue | Leading | Bid · Ask | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brazil Presidential ElectionPolitics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | Flávio Bolsonaro81% | +4 pts | 81¢ · 81¢ (<1¢) | $1.72M | $187M | in 8d |
| 2 |  US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?World · 10 outcomes | Polymarket | October 3182% | +3 pts | 81¢ · 82¢ (1¢) | $1.2M | $16.2M | in 14d |
| 3 | What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?Culture · 39 outcomes | Kalshi | AI / Artificial Intelligence1% | −52 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $1.09M | $1.26M | in 13d |
| 4 | 2028 Democratic presidential nomineePolitics · 52 outcomes | Kalshi | Gavin Newsom14% | 0 pts | 13¢ · 14¢ (1¢) | $662K | $241M | in 751d |
| 5 | Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?Politics · 4 outcomes | Kalshi | Democrats sweep62% | 0 pts | 61¢ · 62¢ (1¢) | $588K | $41.7M | in 106d |
| 6 | Which party will win the U.S. House?Politics · 2 outcomes | Kalshi | Democratic Party90% | 0 pts | 90¢ · 91¢ (1¢) | $582K | $59.9M | in 106d |
| 7 |  Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Politics · 19 outcomes | Polymarket | Gadi Eizenkot53% | +3 pts | 53¢ · 53¢ (<1¢) | $555K | $47.6M | in 10d |
| 8 | Texas Senate winner?Politics · 2 outcomes | Kalshi | James Talarico62% | 0 pts | 61¢ · 62¢ (1¢) | $459K | $29.8M | in 381d |
| 9 |  Fed Decision in October?Economy · 5 outcomes | Polymarket | No change87% | — | 86¢ · 87¢ (1¢) | $445K | $45.2M | in 11d |
| 10 |  Next French Presidential ElectionPolitics · 42 outcomes | Polymarket | Marine Le Pen48% | +2 pts | 48¢ · 48¢ (<1¢) | $433K | $153M | in 183d |
| 11 |  Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Culture · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | December 315% | +1 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $415K | $74.1M | in 75d |
| 12 |  Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?World · 6 outcomes | Polymarket | October 1899% | +2 pts | 99¢ · 99¢ (<1¢) | $398K | $36.4M | in 75d |
| 13 | 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?Politics · 32 outcomes | Kalshi | J.D. Vance20% | 0 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | $393K | $74.6M | in 1116d |
| 14 | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryPolitics · 8 outcomes | Polymarket | Flávio Bolsonaro <4%41% | — | 40¢ · 41¢ (1¢) | $391K | $2.34M | in 8d |
| 15 |  Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsPolitics · 5 outcomes | Polymarket | Democrats Sweep63% | — | 62¢ · 63¢ (1¢) | $365K | $24.8M | in 17d |
| 16 |  Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?Culture · 13 outcomes | Polymarket | 340-35926% | +9 pts | 26¢ · 27¢ (1¢) | $317K | $1.19M | in 2d |
| 17 |  NATO x Russia military clash by...?World · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | December 3126% | +2 pts | 25¢ · 26¢ (1¢) | $306K | $9.37M | in 77d |
| 18 |  Next Press Secretary announced by...?Politics · 3 outcomes | Polymarket | October 3120% | — | 19¢ · 20¢ (1¢) | $272K | $303K | in 75d |
| 19 | How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Politics · 15 outcomes | Kalshi | 4817% | +2 pts | 16¢ · 18¢ (2¢) | $271K | $2.94M | in 106d |
| 20 |  Presidential Election Winner 2028Politics · 54 outcomes | Polymarket | JD Vance20% | −1 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (<1¢) | $231K | $717M | in 752d |
| 21 |  Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?Crypto · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | 80,00099% | +1 pts | 99¢ · 99¢ (<1¢) | $230K | $426K | in 8h |
| 22 | What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?Crypto · 14 outcomes | Polymarket | ↑ 84,0003% | −3 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $224K | $1.18M | in 20h |
| 23 |  What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?Crypto · 14 outcomes | Polymarket | ↑ 2,6001% | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $220K | $820K | in 20h |
| 24 | BTC price on Friday at 5pm EDT?Crypto · 50 outcomes | Kalshi | $77,000 or above92% | +3 pts | 91¢ · 92¢ (1¢) | $209K | $329K | in 6d |
| 25 | US gas prices this weekEconomy · 23 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 4.32001% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $206K | $847K | in 20h |
| 26 | What price will Bitcoin hit in October?Crypto · 20 outcomes | Polymarket | ↑ 95,0004% | −1 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $197K | $8.11M | in 14d |
| 27 | Brazil Presidential election winner?Politics · 2 outcomes | Kalshi | Flávio Bolsonaro79% | +1 pts | 79¢ · 80¢ (1¢) | $186K | $9.68M | in 372d |
| 28 | Michigan Senate winner?Politics · 2 outcomes | Kalshi | Abdul El-Sayed68% | 0 pts | 67¢ · 68¢ (1¢) | $178K | $7.6M | in 381d |
| 29 |  # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?Culture · 7 outcomes | Polymarket | 60-80M67% | +51 pts | 67¢ · 68¢ (1¢) | $170K | $235K | in 5d |
| 30 | Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?Culture · 23 outcomes | Polymarket | 260-27917% | +8 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | $167K | $387K | in 5d |
| 31 | Which party will win the U.S. Senate?Politics · 2 outcomes | Kalshi | Democratic Party63% | 0 pts | 62¢ · 63¢ (1¢) | $161K | $15.4M | in 106d |
| 32 | Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?Culture · 10 outcomes | Polymarket | 65-8956% | +22 pts | 55¢ · 58¢ (3¢) | $159K | $183K | in 1d |
| 33 |  Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?World · 13 outcomes | Polymarket | October 2178% | +3 pts | 68¢ · 88¢ (20¢) | $156K | $463K | in 14d |
| 34 | California Governor winner? (Person)Politics · 2 outcomes | Kalshi | Xavier Becerra96% | +1 pts | 95¢ · 96¢ (1¢) | $155K | $56.8M | in 381d |
| 35 |  Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Politics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | Democratic Party65% | — | 64¢ · 65¢ (1¢) | $135K | $7.09M | in 17d |
| 36 |  Which party will win the House in 2026?Politics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | Democratic Party91% | — | 90¢ · 91¢ (1¢) | $134K | $18.3M | in 17d |
| 37 | Oscar Winner: Best PictureCulture · 41 outcomes | Kalshi | The Odyssey48% | −1 pts | 47¢ · 48¢ (1¢) | $121K | $9.22M | in 439d |
| 38 | Maine Senate winner?Politics · 2 outcomes | Kalshi | Troy Jackson59% | +2 pts | 58¢ · 59¢ (1¢) | $119K | $9M | in 381d |
| 39 |  Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?World · 3 outcomes | Polymarket | October 314% | −1 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $116K | $17.3M | in 75d |
| 40 | Fed Decision in December?Economy · 5 outcomes | Polymarket | 25 bps increase75% | −2 pts | 74¢ · 75¢ (1¢) | $110K | $3.9M | in 53d |
| 41 | Bitcoin price at the end of 2026Crypto · 28 outcomes | Kalshi | 80,000 to 84,999.9916% | +2 pts | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | $109K | $42M | in 75d |
| 42 |  Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 18?Climate · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | 21°C99% | +64 pts | 98¢ · 99¢ (2¢) | $107K | $111K | in 4h |
| 43 | What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne?Culture · 27 outcomes | Kalshi | Trump (5+ times)1% | −89 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $102K | $107K | in 13d |
| 44 |  Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Politics · 43 outcomes | Polymarket | J.D. Vance47% | −1 pts | 47¢ · 47¢ (1¢) | $102K | $713M | in 752d |
| 45 |  US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?World | Polymarket | Yes78% | +2 pts | 77¢ · 78¢ (1¢) | $99.8K | $535K | in 17d |
| 46 | 2028 Republican presidential nomineePolitics · 43 outcomes | Kalshi | J.D. Vance42% | −1 pts | 42¢ · 43¢ (1¢) | $99.1K | $69.6M | in 751d |
| 47 |  US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?World · 4 outcomes | Polymarket | March 3157% | — | 57¢ · 58¢ (1¢) | $95.6K | $41.1M | in 75d |
| 48 |  Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Politics · 53 outcomes | Polymarket | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17% | — | 17¢ · 17¢ (<1¢) | $91.6K | $1.29B | in 752d |
| 49 | What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?Crypto · 30 outcomes | Polymarket | ↓ 35,0002% | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $90.6K | $76.1M | in 75d |
| 50 | Will Bitcoin be above $200k by next year?Crypto | Kalshi | Yes1% | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $90.6K | $11.9M | in 75d |
| 51 |  Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?World | Polymarket | Yes1% | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $89.4K | $2.83M | in 14d |
| 52 | What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa?Culture · 26 outcomes | Kalshi | China / Chinese1% | −22 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $88.1K | $103K | in 13d |
| 53 |  Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 18?Climate · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | 19°C or higher>99% | +99 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | $88K | $94.4K | in 4h |
| 54 |  Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerPolitics · 10 outcomes | Polymarket | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia67% | +7 pts | 66¢ · 68¢ (2¢) | $87.6K | $1.35M | in 8d |
| 55 | Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?Tech & Science · 5 outcomes | Kalshi | Before Jan 1, 20274% | 0 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $86.1K | $40.6M | in 75d |
| 56 |  Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?World | Polymarket | Yes2% | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $84.7K | $44.3M | in 75d |
| 57 |  Michigan Senate Election WinnerPolitics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | Abdul El-Sayed (D)69% | −2 pts | 68¢ · 69¢ (1¢) | $82.7K | $1.85M | in 17d |
| 58 | How high will BTC get in October?Crypto · 7 outcomes | Kalshi | Above $90,000.0020% | +1 pts | 19¢ · 21¢ (2¢) | $82K | $1.29M | in 14d |
| 59 |  Texas Senate Election WinnerPolitics · 2 outcomes | Polymarket | James Talarico (D)63% | — | 62¢ · 63¢ (1¢) | $81.7K | $4.03M | in 17d |
| 60 | Fed decision in October?Economy · 5 outcomes | Kalshi | Fed maintains rate86% | −1 pts | 86¢ · 87¢ (1¢) | $81.6K | $12.4M | in 10d |
| 61 |  Xi Jinping out before 2027?World | Polymarket | Yes3% | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $80.5K | $15.1M | in 75d |
| 62 |  # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?Culture · 8 outcomes | Polymarket | 60M+83% | +74 pts | 72¢ · 95¢ (23¢) | $79.7K | $104K | in 44d |
| 63 |  Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?Politics · 3 outcomes | Polymarket | No Hormuz Agreement91% | −1 pts | 90¢ · 91¢ (1¢) | $76.7K | $1.09M | in 17d |
| 64 |  Plague pandemic in 2026?Tech & Science | Polymarket | Yes2% | −1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $76.6K | $492K | in 75d |
| 65 |  What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?Economy · 21 outcomes | Polymarket | ↓ $60<1% | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $74.9K | $2.8M | in 14d |
| 66 | Best AI this weekTech & Science · 9 outcomes | Kalshi | Gemini99% | +1 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $72.6K | $255K | in 1d |
| 67 | Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?Crypto · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | 84,0006% | −2 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $72.2K | $195K | in 1d |
| 68 |  California Governor Election WinnerPolitics · 23 outcomes | Polymarket | Xavier Becerra96% | — | 96¢ · 96¢ (1¢) | $72.2K | $42M | in 17d |
| 69 | Street Fighter · Rotten Tomatoes scoreCulture · 20 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 901% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $71.2K | $1.49M | in 1d |
| 70 | Ethereum above ___ on October 18?Crypto · 11 outcomes | Polymarket | 2,200>99% | +1 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | $71.1K | $134K | in 8h |
| 71 |  Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?World | Polymarket | Yes16% | — | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | $70.7K | $74.5M | in 75d |
| 72 | Number of rate cuts in 2026?Economy · 21 outcomes | Kalshi | Exactly 0 cuts95% | +1 pts | 95¢ · 96¢ (1¢) | $65.2K | $10.7M | in 75d |
| 73 | Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?Politics · 4 outcomes | Polymarket | Oil ≥ $85; D Senate59% | −1 pts | 59¢ · 60¢ (1¢) | $63.6K | $617K | in 17d |
| 74 | What will Trump say this week?Culture · 22 outcomes | Kalshi | Uranium2% | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $62.7K | $207K | in 1d |
| 75 |  Next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics · 38 outcomes | Polymarket | Luca Niculescu96% | +8 pts | 96¢ · 97¢ (1¢) | $59.6K | $5.45M | in 440d |
| 76 | You Can See Everything · Rotten Tomatoes scoreCulture · 17 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 8099% | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $59.3K | $1.1M | in 1d |
| 77 | Wildwood · Rotten Tomatoes scoreCulture · 17 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 4599% | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $57.9K | $613K | in 8d |
| 78 | When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?Politics · 17 outcomes | Kalshi | Before Jan 1, 20277% | +1 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $56.7K | $46.6M | in 75d |
| 79 | How to Rob a Bank · Rotten Tomatoes scoreCulture · 10 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 906% | −3 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $47.4K | $57.9K | in 29d |
| 80 | Los Angeles Mayor winner?Politics · 2 outcomes | Kalshi | Nithya Raman54% | +1 pts | 53¢ · 54¢ (1¢) | $45.5K | $103M | in 227d |
| 81 | Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · WinnerCulture · 10 outcomes | Kalshi | Ezra Frech54% | −1 pts | 54¢ · 55¢ (1¢) | $43.3K | $4.6M | in 81d |
| 82 | Best AI at the end of 2026?Tech & Science · 8 outcomes | Kalshi | Claude46% | +3 pts | 45¢ · 46¢ (1¢) | $43.2K | $14.7M | in 74d |
| 83 | Oscar nominees: Best PictureCulture · 53 outcomes | Kalshi | Project Hail Mary80% | −4 pts | 76¢ · 81¢ (5¢) | $38.5K | $1.31M | in 439d |
| 84 | What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas?Culture · 35 outcomes | Kalshi | Crypto / Bitcoin1% | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $38.1K | $62.6K | in 15d |
| 85 | Sense and Sensibility · Rotten Tomatoes scoreCulture · 12 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 901% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $32.6K | $1.24M | in 1d |
| 86 | What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall?Culture · 21 outcomes | Kalshi | Illegal Alien99% | +59 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $31.6K | $37.4K | in 13d |
| 87 | Best AI this month?Tech & Science · 7 outcomes | Kalshi | Gemini75% | +1 pts | 75¢ · 76¢ (1¢) | $27.5K | $508K | in 13d |
| 88 | Gas prices in the US this month?Economy · 26 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 4.4012% | −3 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $26.1K | $414K | in 13d |
| 89 | How high will Bitcoin get this year?Crypto · 7 outcomes | Kalshi | Above $99,999.9925% | 0 pts | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | $25.3K | $5.16M | in 75d |
| 90 | The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes scoreCulture · 10 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 908% | −2 pts | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | $23.4K | $49.9K | in 22d |
| 91 | CPI in OctoberEconomy · 12 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 0.2%63% | −1 pts | 61¢ · 63¢ (2¢) | $21.9K | $694K | in 23d |
| 92 | Whalefall · Rotten Tomatoes scoreCulture · 13 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 752% | +1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $21.2K | $666K | in 1d |
| 93 | Oil Price (WTI) tomorrow?Economy · 30 outcomes | Kalshi | Above $102.999% | −4 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | $20.8K | $41.7K | in 1d |
| 94 | US-Iran nuclear deal?Politics · 7 outcomes | Kalshi | Before Jan 1, 202712% | −2 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $20.6K | $22.4M | in 75d |
| 95 | What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?Culture · 27 outcomes | Kalshi | Zillion / Zillionaire14% | −4 pts | 12¢ · 15¢ (3¢) | $17.5K | $19.5K | in 14d |
| 96 | How low will Bitcoin get this year?Crypto · 4 outcomes | Kalshi | Below $55,000.0010% | −1 pts | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | $16.9K | $7.53M | in 75d |
| 97 | Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes scoreCulture · 10 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 906% | 0 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $16.2K | $349K | in 8d |
| 98 | S&P close price end of 2026?Economy · 27 outcomes | Kalshi | 7,800 to 7,999.9919% | 0 pts | 17¢ · 19¢ (2¢) | $15.7K | $7.8M | in 75d |
| 99 | Will the SAVE Act become law?Politics | Kalshi | Yes3% | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $15.4K | $14.6M | in 78d |
| 100 | US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?Economy · 9 outcomes | Kalshi | Above 4.0%20% | 0 pts | 19¢ · 23¢ (4¢) | $15.2K | $271K | in 12d |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API and the event search kalshi.com runs on, refreshed every minute. Each venue's volume is the one it publishes: Polymarket counts USDC traded, Kalshi counts $1 contracts traded, so the two are close to comparable but not identical. A row's leading outcome is the one priced most likely; where an event is a ladder of separate strikes (Bitcoin above $80,000, above $82,000…) it is the most-traded strike instead, since the lowest strike always looks most likely. 24h is that outcome's move in percentage points. Markets that open and settle within a day - 15-minute and hourly crypto contracts - are left off, and sports are under their own chip. Prices are odds, not advice.