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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.1600 | 99% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.1800 | 99% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.2000 | 99% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.2200 | 99% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.2400 | 99% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.2600 | 99% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.2800 | 99% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.2900 | 99% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.3000 | 5% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.3100 | 3% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.3200 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.3400 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.3600 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.3800 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.4000 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.4200 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.4400 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.4600 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.4800 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.5000 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.5200 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.5400 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Above 4.5600 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
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If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.1600 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 99¢ for Above 4.1600 means the market gives it about 99%.