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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese | 1% | −19 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $14.2K | in 13d |
| DeSantis | 1% | −38 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $12K | in 13d |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | 1% | −10 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $11.9K | in 13d |
| Midterm | 1% | −44 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $7.95K | in 13d |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 1% | −43 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $7.88K | in 13d |
| Hurricane / FEMA | 1% | −32 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $4.76K | in 13d |
| Trillionaire | 1% | −19 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $2.7K | in 13d |
| Climate | 99% | +40 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $2.44K | in 13d |
| Trump (5+ times) | 99% | +10 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $2.25K | in 13d |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | 99% | +16 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $2.23K | in 13d |
| Social Security | 99% | +40 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $2.19K | in 13d |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 99% | +9 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $2.13K | in 13d |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 1% | −63 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $2.12K | in 13d |
| Bernie | 99% | +63 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $2.01K | in 13d |
| Israel / Netanyahu | 99% | +38 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $1.46K | in 13d |
| Billionaire (5+ times) | 99% | +6 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $1.2K | in 13d |
| Elon / Musk | 99% | +9 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $1.12K | in 13d |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 99% | +18 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $1.07K | in 13d |
| Data Center | 99% | +25 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $930 | in 13d |
| Socialist / Socialism | 1% | −40 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $885 | in 13d |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 99% | +14 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $868 | in 13d |
| Housing / Rent | 99% | +13 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $771 | in 13d |
| Tax Break | 99% | +13 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $752 | in 13d |
| Working Class | 99% | +9 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $538 | in 13d |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | −2 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $352 | in 13d |
| Zillion / Zillionaire | 1% | −25 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $281 | in 13d |
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If Bernie Sanders says Billionaire (5+ times) as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for China / Chinese means the market gives it about 1%.