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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $90,000.00 | 7% | −5 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $17.7K | in 8d |
| Above $87,500.00 | 12% | −10 pts | 10¢ · 12¢ (2¢) | $16.8K | in 8d |
| Above $97,500.00 | 2% | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $4.94K | in 8d |
| Above $92,500.00 | 3% | −3 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $2.53K | in 8d |
| Above $95,000.00 | 3% | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $224 | in 8d |
| Above $102,500.00 | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $29.7 | in 8d |
| Above $100,000.00 | 1% | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $0 | in 8d |
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If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever above $ 85000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 7¢ for Above $90,000.00 means the market gives it about 7%.