Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 52% | +5 pts | 52¢ · 52¢ (<1¢) | $25.4K | in 73d |
| Gemini | 38% | 0 pts | 38¢ · 38¢ (<1¢) | $35K | in 73d |
| ChatGPT | 9% | −2 pts | 9¢ · 9¢ (<1¢) | $16.1K | in 73d |
| Grok | 3% | −1 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $16K | in 73d |
| Muse | 2% | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $21K | in 73d |
| Kimi | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $281 | in 73d |
| Qwen | 1% | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $13.2K | in 73d |
| Ernie | <1% | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $4.12K | in 73d |
Kalshi's trade feed isn't answering right now; this page tries again in a few minutes.
If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 52¢ for Claude means the market gives it about 52%.