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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini | 99% | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $2.92K | in 4h |
| ChatGPT | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $1.21K | in 4h |
| Claude | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $13.4K | in 4h |
| Grok | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $340 | in 4h |
| Dola | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $145 | in 4h |
| Qwen | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $2.17K | in 4h |
| Amazon Nova | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $2.53K | in 4h |
| MUSE | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $291 | in 4h |
| Kimi | 1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $97 | in 4h |
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If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 99¢ for Gemini means the market gives it about 99%.