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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 0 cuts | 95% | 0 pts | 95¢ · 95¢ (<1¢) | $3.26K | in 75d |
| Exactly 1 cut | 2% | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $21K | in 75d |
| Exactly 2 cuts | 1% | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $6.87K | in 75d |
| Exactly 4 cuts | 1% | +1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $2.83K | in 75d |
| Exactly 6 cuts | 1% | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $12.6K | in 75d |
| Exactly 5 cuts | <1% | +1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $4.68K | in 75d |
| Exactly 3 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $6.16K | in 75d |
| Exactly 7 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $5.65K | in 75d |
| Exactly 8 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 9 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 10 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 11 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 12 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 13 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 14 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 15 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 17 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 18 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 19 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Exactly 20 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $916 | in 75d |
| Exactly 16 cuts | <1% | 0 pts | 0¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0 | in 75d |
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If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 95¢ for Exactly 0 cuts means the market gives it about 95%.