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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 85 | 16% | −6 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | $16.2K | in 7d |
| Above 80 | 38% | −6 pts | 36¢ · 38¢ (2¢) | $11K | in 7d |
| Above 90 | 4% | −2 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $7.53K | in 7d |
| Above 75 | 61% | −4 pts | 60¢ · 61¢ (1¢) | $4.87K | in 7d |
| Above 45 | 96% | −1 pts | 96¢ · 97¢ (1¢) | $4.8K | in 7d |
| Above 70 | 77% | 0 pts | 75¢ · 78¢ (3¢) | $2.61K | in 7d |
| Above 55 | 92% | −2 pts | 92¢ · 94¢ (2¢) | $2.52K | in 7d |
| Above 65 | 83% | −4 pts | 82¢ · 83¢ (1¢) | $425 | in 7d |
| Above 60 | 84% | −5 pts | 84¢ · 86¢ (2¢) | $110 | in 7d |
| Above 50 | 95% | −1 pts | 95¢ · 96¢ (1¢) | $62.2 | in 7d |
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If Clayface has a Tomatometer score of above 45 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 16¢ for Above 85 means the market gives it about 16%.