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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 90 | 6% | −3 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $20K | in 29d |
| Above 80 | 16% | −4 pts | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | $7.66K | in 29d |
| Above 85 | 11% | — | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | $7.29K | in 29d |
| Above 70 | 39% | −3 pts | 38¢ · 39¢ (1¢) | $6.65K | in 29d |
| Above 75 | 27% | −3 pts | 27¢ · 28¢ (1¢) | $3.28K | in 29d |
| Above 65 | 48% | −2 pts | 47¢ · 48¢ (1¢) | $2.26K | in 29d |
| Above 60 | 57% | +1 pts | 56¢ · 57¢ (1¢) | $143 | in 29d |
| Above 55 | 69% | 0 pts | 69¢ · 70¢ (1¢) | $32.5 | in 29d |
| Above 45 | 79% | 0 pts | 79¢ · 80¢ (1¢) | $29.2 | in 29d |
| Above 50 | 73% | −1 pts | 73¢ · 74¢ (1¢) | $10.2 | in 29d |
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If How to Rob a Bank has a Tomatometer score of above 45 on Nov 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for Above 90 means the market gives it about 6%.