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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico | 65% | −3 pts | 65¢ · 66¢ (1¢) | $344K | in 376d |
| Ken Paxton | 35% | +2 pts | 34¢ · 35¢ (1¢) | $1.68M | in 376d |
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If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 65¢ for James Talarico means the market gives it about 65%.