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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Marchand (FRA) | 100% | +67 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kristof Milak (HUN) | 0% | −77 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Tomoru Honda (JPN) | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Genki Terakado (JPN) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Thomas Heilman (USA) | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilya Kharun (CAN) | 0% | +35 pts | 0 pts | — · 88¢ | — | ended |
| Giacomo Carini (ITA) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Krzysztof Chmielewski (POL) | 0% | +2 pts | 0 pts | — · >99¢ | — | ended |
| Noe Ponti (SUI) | 0% | +42 pts | 0 pts | — · 99¢ | — | ended |
| Luca Urlando (USA) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | +20 pts | 0 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 814d |  TheGuru-791 | Kristof Milak (HUN) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,680 | +$118 +1.0% | 4 |
| 814d |  LongLiveJoeBiden | Leon Marchand (FRA) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,897 | +$120 +2.0% | 4 |
| 814d |  redbloodzcell | Leon Marchand (FRA) | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$322 +19% | 4 |
200m Butterfly (M)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Leon Marchand (FRA) means the market gives it about 100%.