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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wei Yi | 100% | +35 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Magnus Carlsen | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alireza Firouzja | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −2 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0% | +35 pts | +38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | 0% | +2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | −33 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | +2 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Anish Giri | 0% | +36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vincent Keymer | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 0% | −47 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wesley So | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vidit Gujrathi | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hans Moke Niemann | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pentala Harikrishna | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Martínez Alcántara | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lê Quang Liêm | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matthias Blübaum | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniil Dubov | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Shankland | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Richard Rapport | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Esipenko | 0% | −46 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Levon Aronian | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frederik Svane | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 0% | −47 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Yakubboev | 0% | −39 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Sargissian | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Donchenko | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexey Grebnev | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Samuel Sevian | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Placeholder 23 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 24 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 25 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 26 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 27 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 28 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 29 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 32 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 33 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 34 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 35 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 36 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 37 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 38 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 39 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 40 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 41 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 42 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 43 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 44 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 45 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 46 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 47 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 48 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 49 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 50 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 332d | iamgone | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,961 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 332d | iamgone | Wei Yi | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,122 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | JoFilo | Andrey Esipenko | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,528 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | JoFilo | Nodirbek Yakubboev | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,512 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d |  RecursiveDragon | Nodirbek Yakubboev | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,274 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 339d | zxc368 | José Martínez Alcántara | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 339d | Abandoned-Counsel | Sam Shankland | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,289 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 339d |  mango-lassi | Arjun Erigaisi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,287 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Lê Quang Liêm | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,216 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | Improbable-Citron | Daniil Dubov | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,592 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | Improbable-Citron | Alexey Grebnev | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,091 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | zxc368 | Daniil Dubov | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,395 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 343d |  formernorrisfan | Samuel Sevian | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,397 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 343d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Frederik Svane | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,040 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 343d | Waterfall4122 fills | Levon Aronian | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,129 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 343d | Abandoned-Counsel | Gabriel Sargissian | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,271 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 345d | Improbable-CitronNew account | Vincent Keymer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,363 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 345d | iamgone | Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,711 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 345d | iamgone | Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,653 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 349d | iamgone | Vidit Gujrathi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,613 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 350d | iamgone | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,485 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 350d | iamgone | Anish Giri | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,439 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 352d |  m0rt | Hans Moke Niemann | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,381 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 353d | JoFilo | Wesley So | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,907 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 355d |  BlackSky123 | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,529 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 355d | rizn | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,126 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 355d | BlackSky123 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,848 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 355d | BlackSky123 | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,182 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 355d |  AllByMyseIf | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,336 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 367d | iamgone | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$63 +5.3% | 4 |
The 2025 FIDE World Cup is scheduled for October 30–November 27, 2025 in Goa, India. This market will resolve to the listed player who finishes second in the 2025 FIDE World Cup. If none of the listed players finishes second, it will resolve to “Other.” If FIDE officially reschedules the World Cup to start after February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Wei Yi means the market gives it about 100%.