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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Levon Aronian | 0% | +3 pts | +3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 0% | +1 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Richard Rapport | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leinier Dominguez Perez | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wesley So | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shakhriyar Mamedyarov | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yangyi Yu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gukesh D | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniil Dubov | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nihal Sarin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anish Giri | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Praggnanandhaa R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Grischuk | 0% | +2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jaime Santos Latasa | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dmitry Andreikin | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Teimour Radjabov | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Samuel Sevian | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Radoslaw Wojtaszek | 0% | +2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ray Robson | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vincent Keymer | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Le Quang Liem | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jose Eduardo Martinez Alcantara | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baadur Jobava | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Volodar Murzin | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Olexandr Bortnyk | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nils Grandelius | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ruslan Ponomariov | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorden Van Foreest | 0% | +2 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexey Sarana | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vasyl Ivanchuk | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Esipenko | 0% | +2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eltaj Safarli | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Raunak Sadhwani | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shant Sargsyan | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pentala Harikrishna | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A.R. Saleh Salem | 0% | +1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hans Moke Niemann | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rasmus Svane | 0% | +1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Anton Guijarro | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kirill Alekseenko | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rauf Mamedov | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person 1 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 2 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 6 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 8 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 11 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 13 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 16 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 17 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 18 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 20 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 21 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 22 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 23 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 24 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 25 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 26 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 27 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 28 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 29 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 32 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 33 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 34 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 35 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 36 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 37 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 38 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 39 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 40 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 41 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 42 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 43 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 44 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 45 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 46 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 47 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 48 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 49 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person 50 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299d | wokerjoesleeper | Vladislav Artemiev | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,298 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 299d | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,498 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 299d | wokerjoesleeper | Hans Moke Niemann | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,298 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 299d | stevemaster | Hans Moke Niemann | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$6 +0.6% | 4 |
| 299d | iamgone3 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,865 | +$77 +1.0% | 4 |
| 299d | iamgone | Vladislav Artemiev | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,202 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 299d | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,057 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 300d | iamgone2 fills | Levon Aronian | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,943 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 300d | Jose Eduardo Martinez Alcantara | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 300d | Jan-Krzysztof Duda | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,666 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 300d | purpleunicorn | Hans Moke Niemann | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$131 +12% | 7 |
| 300d | Pentala Harikrishna | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,581 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 300d | Raunak Sadhwani | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 300d | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $3,276 | −$3,276 −100% | 12 | |
| 301d | Shant Sargsyan | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,876 | +$32 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 301d | Daniil Dubov | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$21 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 301d | iamgone | Nils Grandelius | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | Radoslaw Wojtaszek | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 301d | iamgone | Vasyl Ivanchuk | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,464 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | iamgone2 fills | Radoslaw Wojtaszek | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,816 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | Smolovka | Vladislav Artemiev | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$47 +4.6% | 5 |
| 301d | iamgone | Volodar Murzin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,816 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | iamgone | Teimour Radjabov | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,159 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 302d | iamgone | Eltaj Safarli | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,292 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
The 2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 26-28, 2025 in Doha, Qatar. This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship. If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Magnus Carlsen means the market gives it about 100%.