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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sovereignty | 100% | +85 pts | +88 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Journalism | 0% | −27 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sandman | 0% | −12 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rodriguez | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tappan Street | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Burnham Square | 0% | −7 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxor Cafe | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Citizen Bull | 0% | −6 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| East Avenue | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grande | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Owen Almighty | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tiztastic | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| American Promise | 0% | −5 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chunk of Gold | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Coal Battle | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baeza | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Neoequos | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Final Gambit | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Publisher | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Admire Daytona | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Render Judgement | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Flying Mohawk | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Horse H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Horse I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Horse J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Horse K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Horse L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Horse M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Horse N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Horse O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 538d | interstellaar | Journalism | SellNo>99¢ | $1,687 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 538d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Sovereignty | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d |  Bulan | Chunk of Gold | SellNo>99¢ | $11,349 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 538d |  beibeidabest | Journalism | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,510 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | statwcooks | Owen Almighty | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,865 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | beibeidabest | Baeza | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,416 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | beibeidabest | Citizen Bull | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,940 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | beibeidabest | Tiztastic | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,452 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | beibeidabest | Render Judgement | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,421 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 538d | beibeidabest | Admire Daytona | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,714 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 538d |  JohnCenaLover | Neoequos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,777 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | JohnCenaLover | East Avenue | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,668 | +$32 +0.9% | 4 |
| 538d | JohnCenaLover | Sandman | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,550 | +$450 +9.9% | 6 |
| 538d | FoldingNuts272 | Flying Mohawk | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,005 | +$221 +1.1% | 4 |
| 538d | DumbMoney1 | Sovereignty | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,072 | +$304 +9.9% | 6 |
| 538d | JohnCenaLover | American Promise | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 538d | FoldingNuts272 | Burnham Square | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $14,942 | +$738 +4.9% | 5 |
| 538d |  Dfmdhahjq | Sovereignty | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,873 | +$541 +11% | 6 |
| 538d | BowlOfPunch | Luxor Cafe | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $9,113 | +$901 +9.9% | 6 |
| 538d | BowlOfPunch | Journalism | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $9,735 | +$2,746 +28% | 8 |
| 538d | JohnCenaLover | Sovereignty | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,499 | +$501 +11% | 6 |
| 538d | interstellaar | Journalism | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$360 +30% | 8 |
| 538d |  Malllory | Sovereignty | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,849 | +$428 +11% | 6 |
| 538d | FoldingNuts272 | Rodriguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 538d |  gamblingdebt | Journalism | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 9 |
| 538d | Bulan3 fills | Chunk of Gold | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,135 | +$226 +2.0% | 4 |
| 538d | Malllory | Publisher | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$34 +2.9% | 4 |
| 538d | bwt06 | Journalism | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $2,425 | −$2,425 −100% | 9 |
| 538d | richfeynman | Journalism | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,630 | +$831 +32% | 8 |
| 538d | JosephstAll-in | Chunk of Gold | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,468 | +$71 +2.0% | 4 |
| 538d | Malllory | Coal Battle | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | +$60 +3.6% | 5 |
| 538d | booboo | Luxor Cafe | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,428 | −$1,428 −100% | 9 |
| 538d |  andy29 | Journalism | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,764 | +$1,189 +32% | 8 |
| 538d | Malllory | Render Judgement | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$18 +1.4% | 4 |
| 538d | Malllory | Chunk of Gold | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,446 | +$45 +1.8% | 4 |
| 538d | JohnCenaLover | Sovereignty | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $1,711 | −$1,711 −100% | 6 |
| 538d |  probability | Grande | SellNo>99¢ | $1,593 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 538d | interstellaar | Grande | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,595 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 538d | Unselfish-MobsterNew account | Sandman | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,685 | +$208 +12% | 11 |
| 539d | beibeidabest3 fills | Tappan Street | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,328 | +$26 +0.1% | 4 |
| 539d | JohnCenaLover | Grande | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,551 | +$180 +4.0% | 5 |
| 539d | probability2 fills | Grande | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,002 | +$157 +5.2% | 5 |
| 540d | beibeidabest2 fills | Rodriguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,495 | +$48 +0.1% | 4 |
| 540d |  Gabe.Owners | Tappan Street | SellNo>99¢ | $1,738 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 540d | Gabe.Owners | Tappan Street | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,740 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 540d | JohnCenaLover | Rodriguez | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,287 | +$69 +3.0% | 4 |
| 542d | beibeidabest | Sandman | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$191 +15% | 5 |
| 542d | 0xafd8…a4e2 | Sandman | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,889 | −$1,889 −100% | 6 |
| 545d |  IamNotGood | Tappan Street | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
This is a market on which horse will win the 2025 Kentucky Derby Winner.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sovereignty means the market gives it about 100%.