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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd hottest | 100% | +17 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st hottest | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3rd hottest | 0% | −14 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lower | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 343d | 0x955c…990f | 2nd hottest | SellYes>99¢ | $29,563 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 343d |  aenews2 | 2nd hottest | SellYes>99¢ | $7,639 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 343d | Basquo | 2nd hottest | BuyNo3¢ → 0¢ | $1,202 | −$1,202 −100% | 5 |
| 343d | Abandoned-Counsel10 fills | Lower | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,110 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 343d | aenews22 fills | 2nd hottest | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,359 | +$100 +3.0% | 4 |
| 343d | aenews23 fills | 3rd hottest | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,697 | +$515 +3.5% | 4 |
| 343d | influenz.eth2 fills | Lower | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,222 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 343d | influenz.eth2 fills | 1st hottest | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,222 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 360d | acs007 | 3rd hottest | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,649 | −$1,649 −100% | 4 |
| 368d | pushpushino2 fills | Lower | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,684 | −$28 −0.8% | — |
| 369d | balerinacapuchina3 fills | 2nd hottest | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $6,451 | +$5,877 +91% | 4 |
| 373d | balerinacapuchina4 fills | 2nd hottest | SellYes45¢ → 100¢ | $7,135 | −$8,617 −121% | — |
| 378d | pushpushino | 1st hottest | SellNo>99¢ | $1,736 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 380d | wokerjoesleeper | Lower | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 381d | balerinacapuchina2 fills | 3rd hottest | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $2,625 | −$1,625 −62% | — |
| 381d | balerinacapuchina | 3rd hottest | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$997 +67% | 4 |
| 382d | Steep-Public2 fills | 3rd hottest | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $4,035 | −$4,035 −100% | 4 |
| 382d | russell1103202 fills | 2nd hottest | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $6,042 | +$6,042 +100% | — |
| 389d | littleyy | 3rd hottest | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | −$1,070 −100% | 12 |
| 394d | Kiger-okx | 3rd hottest | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,920 | +$1,920 +100% | — |
| 394d | Kiger-okx | 3rd hottest | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,920 | −$1,920 −100% | 6 |
| 394d | Kiger-okx | 2nd hottest | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,938 | −$1,938 −100% | 6 |
| 401d |  Terry2411294 fills | 3rd hottest | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $7,696 | −$7,696 −100% | 4 |
| 402d | aureli | 1st hottest | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 403d | aureli | Lower | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 406d | russell1103202 fills | 3rd hottest | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $4,280 | −$4,280 −100% | 4 |
| 406d | 420ToWin2 fills | 2nd hottest | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $6,566 | −$6,566 −100% | 4 |
| 406d | russell110320 | 2nd hottest | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,149 | −$1,149 −100% | 4 |
| 414d | pushpushino | Lower | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$28 +1.7% | 4 |
| 415d |  gopfan2 | 2nd hottest | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,279 | −$1,279 −100% | 4 |
| 415d | pushpushino | 1st hottest | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,723 | +$19 +1.1% | 4 |
Cookedtan256 sharesThis market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2025 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record. Note: If 2025 September is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2025 is provided by NASA by November 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 2nd hottest means the market gives it about 100%.