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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Spaun | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Scottie Scheffler | 0% | −2 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xander Schauffele | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rory McIlroy | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Collin Morikawa | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ludvig Aberg | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Viktor Hovland | 0% | −13 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Patrick Cantlay | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Justin Thomas | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tom Kim | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sahith Theegala | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tony Finau | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wyndham Clark | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russell Henley | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan Spieth | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Young | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Burns | 0% | −34 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sungjae Im | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 0% | −5 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jon Rahm | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brooks Koepka | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joaquin Niemann | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 0% | −3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adam Scott | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Ortiz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 494d | PolyChrome | Viktor Hovland | SellNo>99¢ | $9,014 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 494d | Jon Rahm | SellNo>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 494d | jk1z | J.J. Spaun | SellYes>99¢ | $2,008 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 494d | qwertyasdfghjkl4 fills | J.J. Spaun | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $14,466 | +$4,281 +30% | 4 |
| 494d | 0x9c5 fills | J.J. Spaun | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $7,848 | −$7,848 −100% | 4 |
| 494d | Tyrrell Hatton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$50 +2.9% | 4 | |
| 494d | 0x9c5 fills | J.J. Spaun | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $24,745 | −$2,466 −10.0% | — |
| 494d | qwertyasdfghjkl3 fills | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo>99¢ | $75,122 | +$151 +0.2% | 4 |
| 494d | gilbert | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo100¢ | $4,732 | +$24 +0.5% | 4 |
| 494d | wokerjoesleeper | Tyrrell Hatton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | +$35 +1.8% | 4 |
| 494d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,505 | +$83 +0.7% | 4 |
| 494d | oVyg7f2 fills | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,326 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 494d | w1n3r | J.J. Spaun | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 494d | wokerjoesleeper | Viktor Hovland | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$50 +3.5% | 4 |
| 494d | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,761 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 494d | 252 | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 494d | m20241223 | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,391 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 494d | gilbert | Tyrrell Hatton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 494d | Breezy-Entrance | Viktor Hovland | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,164 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 494d | Breezy-Entrance | Adam Scott | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$7 +0.7% | 4 |
| 494d | skullface7912 fills | J.J. Spaun | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $11,212 | +$8,487 +76% | 4 |
| 494d | qwertyasdfghjkl | J.J. Spaun | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $15,223 | −$15,223 −100% | 4 |
| 494d | Sam Burns | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$109 +6.6% | 4 | |
| 494d | Carlos Ortiz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 494d | skullface7912 fills | Tyrrell Hatton | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $4,180 | −$4,180 −100% | 4 |
| 494d | richfeynman2 fills | J.J. Spaun | BuyYes29¢ → 100¢ | $5,161 | +$12,400 +240% | 4 |
| 494d | Viktor Hovland | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,541 | +$208 +5.9% | 5 | |
| 494d | KBO30 | Sam Burns | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,173 | −$1,173 −100% | 4 |
| 494d | 0x9c9 fills | Tyrrell Hatton | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $18,987 | +$1,189 +6.3% | 4 |
| 494d | 0x9c | Viktor Hovland | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$152 +12% | 4 |
| 494d | 0x9c2 fills | Adam Scott | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,674 | +$1,063 +29% | 4 |
| 494d | Sam Burns | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $6,995 | −$6,995 −100% | 4 | |
| 494d | umniybet1 | Sam Burns | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $4,630 | −$4,630 −100% | 4 |
| 494d | 1mperator17 | Xander Schauffele | SellNo>99¢ | $2,379 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 494d | bestfriends2 fills | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $20,473 | +$616 +3.0% | 4 |
| 494d | skullface7914 fills | Sam Burns | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $40,888 | −$40,888 −100% | 4 |
| 494d | J.J. Spaun | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $4,980 | −$4,980 −100% | 4 | |
| 494d | Tyrrell Hatton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$21 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 494d | Immense-Literate | Sam Burns | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,094 | +$1,429 +46% | 4 |
| 494d | Immense-Literate | Scottie Scheffler | SellNo>99¢ | $3,094 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 494d | Plutonium947 fills | Sam Burns | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $34,479 | +$15,940 +46% | 4 |
| 494d | Sam Burns | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $5,805 | +$2,352 +41% | 12 | |
| 494d | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $12,603 | +$1,660 +13% | 6 | |
| 494d | bestfriends | Jon Rahm | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,912 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 494d | Rory McIlroy | SellNo>99¢ | $4,525 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 494d | Scottie Scheffler | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $40,000 | +$275 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 494d | S-Works3 fills | Rory McIlroy | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $341,901 | +$21,845 +6.4% | 4 |
| 494d | Rory McIlroy | SellNo>99¢ | $1,290 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 495d | PolyChrome | Viktor Hovland | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $7,940 | +$1,083 +14% | 8 |
| 495d | Gottobuyflowers | J.J. Spaun | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $10,168 | −$10,168 −100% | 10 |
| 495d | PolyChrome | Scottie Scheffler | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,179 | −$211 −2.9% | — |
| 495d | SweetChariot | Scottie Scheffler | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$22 −2.1% | — |
| 495d | gilbert | Rory McIlroy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,545 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 495d | Sam Burns | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | −$616 −52% | — | |
| 495d | Jordan Spieth | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,162 | +$42 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 495d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Viktor Hovland | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,625 | +$375 +14% | 7 |
| 495d | Brooks Koepka | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,401 | +$217 +4.0% | 5 | |
| 495d | Skirk1123 | Rory McIlroy | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,547 | −$53 −1.5% | — |
| 495d | Rory McIlroy | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,209 | +$222 +2.2% | 4 | |
| 495d | richfeynman | Brooks Koepka | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$41 +3.3% | 5 |
This market will resolve according to the player who wins The 2025 U.S. Open. If this player is mathematically eliminated from contention for The U.S. Open based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner based on the official rules of the tournament. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the first official results published by the U.S. Open website (usopen.com).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for J.J. Spaun means the market gives it about 100%.