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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Leclerc | 49% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 10¢ · 88¢ (78¢) | — | in 43d |
| Lewis Hamilton | 48% | +2 pts | +1 pts | 10¢ · 86¢ (76¢) | — | in 43d |
| Oscar Piastri | 46% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 3¢ · 90¢ (87¢) | — | in 43d |
| Max Verstappen | 44% | +1 pts | +13 pts | 2¢ · 86¢ (84¢) | — | in 43d |
| Lando Norris | 44% | +2 pts | −4 pts | 2¢ · 86¢ (84¢) | — | in 43d |
| George Russell | 43% | +1 pts | −4 pts | 1¢ · 85¢ (84¢) | — | in 43d |
| Kimi Antonelli | 43% | −3 pts | −4 pts | 1¢ · 84¢ (83¢) | — | in 43d |
| Isack Hadjar | 41% | −2 pts | +22 pts | 3¢ · 79¢ (76¢) | — | in 43d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 4th in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for fourth place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine final positions in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to finish 4th in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 49¢ for Charles Leclerc means the market gives it about 49%.