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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Kim | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cole Hammer | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 0% | −92 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wyndham Clark | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ethan Fang | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierceson Coody | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ben James | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Taihei Sato | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xander Schauffele | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Carlos Ortiz | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emiliano Grillo | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| T.K. Kim | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Young | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sahith Theegala | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Billy Horschel | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Gerard | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zac Blair | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Robbie Higgins | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Greyserman | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Min Woo Lee | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kevin Roy | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Berger | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scottie Scheffler | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Viktor Hovland | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Noren | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Kirk | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jackson Suber | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicolai Højgaard | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chase Kyes | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greyson Leach | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Laurie Canter | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| J.J. Spaun | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hamilton Coleman | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jake Sollon | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| David Puig | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brandon Holtz | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Montgomery | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Johnny Keefer | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jack Schoenberger | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alejandro Tosti | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan Spieth | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gary Woodland | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Matthew Jordan | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryuichi Oiwa | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cooper Dossey | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bryan Lee | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| William Mouw | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shane Lowry | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rory McIlroy | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chandler Phillips | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Stevens | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ben Griffin | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dylan Wu | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Matti Schmid | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Preston Stout | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vaughn Harber | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Graeme McDowell | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Padraig Harrington | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Corey Conners | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jackson Ormond | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ugo Coussaud | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manav Shah | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Patrick Cantlay | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Si Woo Kim | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kaito Onishi | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brooks Koepka | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jimmy Stanger | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carl Yuan | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mason Howell | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Parry | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Caleb Surratt | 100% | +88 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cameron Smith | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nick Hardy | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max McGreevy | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russell Henley | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Robert MacIntyre | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nathan Kimsey | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Gotterup | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Giuseppe Puebla | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Kohles | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jackson Herrington | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peter Uihlein | 100% | +85 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Matt McCarty | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spencer Tibbits | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alex Smalley | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Davis Thompson | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nick Taylor | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dustin Johnson | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marcelo Rozo | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jon Rahm | 0% | −93 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Neal Shipley | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brian Harman | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Harris English | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryder Cowan | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Arni Sveinsson | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Silverman | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| J.B. Holmes | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Akshay Bhatia | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aaron Rai | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Adrien Saddier | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jake Peacock | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Justin Thomas | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Logan Reilly | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Niklas Norgaard | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Joaquin Niemann | 100% | +77 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kurt Kitayama | 100% | +57 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Justin Rose | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Keegan Bradley | 100% | +16 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mateo Pulcini | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Patrick Rodgers | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Michael Brennan | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brandon Wu | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rocco Repetto Taylor | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lucas Herbert | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| J.T. Poston | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Harry Higgs | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jayden Schaper | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Burns | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Miles Russell | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Matthew Robles | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 0% | −83 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jason Day | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adam Scott | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Putnam | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bud Cauley | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rickie Fowler | 0% | −73 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ryan Fox | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| James Nicholas | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Keith Mitchell | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Harry Hall | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sepp Straka | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Filippo Celli | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Patrick Reed | 0% | −68 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Andrew Novak | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ludvig Åberg | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Angel Hidalgo | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jackson Van Paris | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eric Lee | 100% | +86 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Adrien Dumont de Chassart | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Michael Kim | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hennie du Plessis | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jake Knapp | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Collin Morikawa | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jackson Koivun | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sungjae Im | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marek Fleming | 100% | +94 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maverick McNealy | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126d | Emiliano Grillo | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,419 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 126d | Cole Hammer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,469 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 126d | RockSolidBond | Laurie Canter | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,029 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 126d | Sahith Theegala | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,498 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 126d | RockSolidBond | Pierceson Coody | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,901 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 126d | Xander Schauffele | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,449 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 126d | Ethan Fang | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,677 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 126d | T.K. Kim | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 127d | predictiondiablo | Tom Kim | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,045 | −$1,045 −100% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player makes the cut for the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to make the cut for the main tournament at the 2026 US Open per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, or postponed after July 5, 2026, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player has made the cut within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tom Kim means the market gives it about 100%.