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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anca Alexandrescu | 100% | +70 pts | +84 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gabriela Firea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristian Popescu Piedone | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Baluta | 0% | −33 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ciprian Ciucu | 0% | −32 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catalin Drula | 0% | −7 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vlad Voiculescu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dan Trifu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Virgil Alexandru Zidaru | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vlad Gheorghe | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sorin Grindeanu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Călin Georgescu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Tuță | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert Negoiță | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marian Vanghelie | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Claudiu Târziu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastian Burduja | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Octavian Berceanu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ana-Maria Ciceală | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stelian Bujduveanu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Victor Ponta | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crin Antonescu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cătălin Cîrstoiu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320d | Daniel Baluta | SellNo>99¢ | $1,470 | −$4 −0.3% | — | |
| 320d | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$72 +0.7% | 10 | |
| 320d | influenz.eth | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | +$15 +0.8% | 10 |
| 320d | mirand | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 10 |
| 320d | Bombarda | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$15 +1.5% | 10 |
| 320d | SnowLover7 | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,452 | +$102 +4.2% | 10 |
| 320d | InsiderrrZ2 fills | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,682 | +$886 +24% | 10 |
| 320d | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $9,099 | +$1,978 +22% | 10 | |
| 320d | lava-lava | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $7,831 | +$2,082 +27% | 10 |
| 320d | wokerjoesleeper | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$420 +27% | 10 |
| 320d | cigarettes2 fills | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,876 | +$744 +26% | 10 |
| 320d | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$600 +25% | 10 | |
| 320d | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,212 | +$1,148 +36% | 12 | |
| 320d | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | +$879 +40% | 10 | |
| 320d | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,711 | +$904 +33% | 10 | |
| 320d | cigarettes3 fills | Ciprian Ciucu | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,577 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 320d | InsiderrrZ | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,087 | −$1,087 −100% | 10 |
| 320d | lava-lava2 fills | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $8,036 | −$8,036 −100% | 18 |
| 320d | InsiderrrZ | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,136 | +$1,252 +30% | 10 |
| 320d | Bombarda2 fills | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $4,463 | +$2,079 +47% | 10 |
| 320d | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,854 | −$1,854 −100% | 12 | |
| 320d | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$486 +43% | 10 | |
| 320d | cigarettes2 fills | Catalin Drula | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,530 | +$10 +0.4% | 10 |
| 320d | Daniel Baluta | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 10 | |
| 320d | wokerjoesleeper | Ciprian Ciucu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,674 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 320d | wokerjoesleeper | Catalin Drula | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,671 | +$7 +0.4% | 10 |
| 320d | Anca Alexandrescu | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$777 −69% | — | |
| 320d | Daniel Baluta | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 | |
| 320d | Catalin Drula | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,512 | +$14 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 320d | alex562 | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$685 +39% | 10 |
| 320d | Anca Alexandrescu | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $3,945 | −$2,857 −72% | — | |
| 320d | Daniel Baluta | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | −$1,213 −100% | 10 | |
| 320d | Daniel Baluta | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $3,224 | −$3,224 −100% | 10 | |
| 320d | Catalin Drula | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | +$56 +3.1% | 10 | |
| 320d | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $14,491 | −$14,491 −100% | 10 | |
| 320d | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 10 | |
| 325d | Ciprian Ciucu | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,689 | +$371 +22% | 11 | |
| 325d | hideo | Anca Alexandrescu | SellNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,229 | +$1,229 +100% | — |
| 325d | Vlad Voiculescu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 325d | Catalin Drula | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $11,549 | +$1,283 +11% | 11 | |
| 326d | Catalin Drula | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 11 | |
| 326d | Catalin Drula | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$228 +11% | 11 | |
| 333d | datudouzi | Daniel Baluta | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $5,062 | −$4,141 −82% | — |
| 334d | yili | Daniel Baluta | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $4,325 | −$4,325 −100% | 11 |
| 337d | dalitrader | Daniel Baluta | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,819 | −$1,819 −100% | 11 |
| 339d | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$944 +67% | 10 | |
| 349d | Anca Alexandrescu | SellNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,135 | +$1,135 +100% | — | |
| 350d | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 10 |
Nicușor Dan, the current Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most votes in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election. If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Anca Alexandrescu means the market gives it about 100%.