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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Page | 55% | −6 pts | +6 pts | 38¢ · 72¢ (34¢) | $5.06 | in 70d |
| Sergey Brin | 36% | +3 pts | −8 pts | 14¢ · 59¢ (46¢) | — | in 70d |
| Michael Dell | 27% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · 54¢ | — | ended |
| Jeff Bezos | 27% | −1 pts | +23 pts | 1¢ · 53¢ (52¢) | $11.1 | in 70d |
| Jensen Huang | 24% | +1 pts | +3 pts | <1¢ · 48¢ (48¢) | — | in 70d |
| Steve Ballmer | 24% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 48¢ (48¢) | — | in 70d |
| Warren Buffett | 20% | −1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 39¢ (39¢) | — | in 70d |
| Bernard Arnault | 12% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 23¢ (22¢) | — | in 70d |
| Larry Ellison | 3% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 70d |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 3% | −1 pts | −7 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 70d |
| Elon Musk | 2% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196d | NoahRodriguez2956 | Jeff Bezos | SellNo78¢ → 73¢ | $1,177 | +$70 +6.0% | — |
| 196d | AmandaMoore2890 | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo80¢ → 73¢ | $1,001 | −$85 −8.5% | 17 |
| 196d | NoahRodriguez2956 | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo80¢ → 73¢ | $1,759 | −$149 −8.5% | 17 |
| 197d | drigues | Sergey Brin | BuyNo88¢ → 64¢ | $1,807 | −$501 −28% | 4 |
| 197d | cryptorats | Larry Page | BuyNo66¢ → 45¢ | $1,009 | −$321 −32% | 24 |
Skippy-downunder9 shares
2B9S39 shares
whyareyoureadingthis2 sharesThis market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 55¢ for Larry Page means the market gives it about 55%.