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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Page | 100% | +9 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Larry Ellison | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0% | +3 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard Arnault | 0% | −9 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeff Bezos | 0% | +1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Warren Buffett | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Ballmer | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergey Brin | 0% | 0 pts | +6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | pelik | Larry Page | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,076 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 206d | shcc | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,983 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 211d | aaron1072 fills | Larry Page | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,316 | −$516 −16% | — |
| 211d |  Slowroasted | Jensen Huang | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | aaron1073 fills | Larry Page | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $8,538 | +$2,338 +27% | 4 |
| 216d | biturbobeamer | Larry Page | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $4,192 | −$3,007 −72% | — |
| 220d | biturbobeamer | Larry Page | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$200 +2.9% | 4 |
| 231d | tradexplorer | Sergey Brin | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$120 +11% | 4 |
| 262d | metaserver | Jeff Bezos | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$35 −3.3% | — |
| 263d | metaserver | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$144 +14% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Larry Page means the market gives it about 100%.