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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660d | abeautifulmind3 fills | 30m Bluesky users in December? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,216 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 664d | 30m Bluesky users in December? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | −$18 −1.1% | — | |
| 668d | 30m Bluesky users in December? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,704 | +$130 +1.9% | 4 | |
| 668d | 30m Bluesky users in December? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$32 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 669d | 30m Bluesky users in December? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,996 | −$233 −2.1% | — | |
| 675d | TheBoyBilly... | 30m Bluesky users in December? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$23 −1.9% | — |
| 686d | Champ | 30m Bluesky users in December? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$179 +3.6% | 4 |
| 688d | 30m Bluesky users in December? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | −$267 −21% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bluesky reaches 30,000,000 or more users at any point between December 2 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET according to https://bsky-users.theo.io/. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the resolution source is unavailable at resolution time, https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats may be used. If both resolution sources are unavailable at resolution time, a new resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.