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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Baluta | 100% | +80 pts | +90 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gabriela Firea | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristian Popescu Piedone | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ciprian Ciucu | 0% | −18 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catalin Drula | 0% | −17 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vlad Voiculescu | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dan Trifu | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Virgil Alexandru Zidaru | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vlad Gheorghe | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sorin Grindeanu | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Călin Georgescu | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Tuță | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert Negoiță | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marian Vanghelie | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Claudiu Târziu | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastian Burduja | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Octavian Berceanu | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ana-Maria Ciceală | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stelian Bujduveanu | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anca Alexandrescu | 0% | −44 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Victor Ponta | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crin Antonescu | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cătălin Cîrstoiu | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320d |  NeymarJr | Anca Alexandrescu | SellNo>99¢ | $1,613 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 320d |  gopfan2 | Daniel Baluta | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,396 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 320d | Tedious-Prefix3 fills | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $4,705 | −$4,705 −100% | 24 |
| 320d | SnowLover7 | Anca Alexandrescu | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,196 | +$1,196 +100% | — |
| 320d |  sciuboi | Daniel Baluta | SellNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,136 | +$1,136 +100% | — |
| 320d | kcnyekchno | Daniel Baluta | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,156 | +$1,128 +52% | 10 |
| 320d |  alexsky | Catalin Drula | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | −$87 −3.1% | — |
| 320d | lava-lava | Daniel Baluta | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | 10 |
| 320d | sciuboi3 fills | Daniel Baluta | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $6,087 | −$6,087 −100% | 10 |
| 320d | SnowLover7 | Anca Alexandrescu | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,747 | −$1,747 −100% | 10 |
| 323d | sciuboi | Catalin Drula | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$121 +11% | 12 |
| 325d | Degeneral2 | Ana-Maria Ciceală | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$17 +1.6% | 10 |
Amor.Fati3,843 sharesNicușor Dan, the current Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most votes in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election. If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Daniel Baluta means the market gives it about 100%.