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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Arnault | 46% | 0 pts | +32 pts | 1¢ · 91¢ (89¢) | — | in 71d |
| Elon Musk | 46% | +12 pts | +36 pts | <1¢ · 91¢ (90¢) | — | in 71d |
| Warren Buffett | 43% | +23 pts | +12 pts | 1¢ · 85¢ (84¢) | — | in 71d |
| Steve Ballmer | 42% | +1 pts | +21 pts | 1¢ · 84¢ (83¢) | — | in 71d |
| Jeff Bezos | 42% | +21 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 83¢ (82¢) | — | in 71d |
| Jensen Huang | 29% | +27 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 57¢ (56¢) | — | in 71d |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 21% | +8 pts | +8 pts | 1¢ · 41¢ (41¢) | — | in 71d |
| Larry Ellison | 12% | −18 pts | +9 pts | 1¢ · 24¢ (23¢) | — | in 71d |
| Sergey Brin | 10% | — | +2 pts | 4¢ · 16¢ (12¢) | — | in 71d |
| Larry Page | 9% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 2¢ · 15¢ (13¢) | — | in 71d |
| Michael Dell | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d |  SonicPop | Steve Ballmer | SellNo39¢ → 58¢ | $1,565 | −$753 −48% | — |
| 265d | SonicPop2 fills | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo94¢ → 58¢ | $5,854 | −$2,244 −38% | 4 |
traveloka11 sharesThis market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 46¢ for Bernard Arnault means the market gives it about 46%.