Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bezos | 100% | −1 pts | −1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Larry Ellison | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0% | +1 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard Arnault | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 0% | +1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Warren Buffett | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Ballmer | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Larry Page | 0% | +2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergey Brin | 0% | −2 pts | +5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208d | TimothyLewis1341 | Sergey Brin | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$872 +75% | 12 |
| 221d | KelseyOrtiz4634 | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,306 | −$1,306 −100% | 4 |
| 229d | xiaohuahua | Jeff Bezos | SellNo74¢ → 0¢ | $19,448 | +$19,448 +100% | — |
| 229d | tieqiao2 fills | Jeff Bezos | SellYes26¢ → 100¢ | $11,539 | −$32,034 −278% | — |
| 232d | xiaohuahua | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $19,743 | −$19,743 −100% | 4 |
| 232d | lizhi0 | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $15,744 | −$15,744 −100% | 4 |
| 232d | datudouzi | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $16,944 | −$16,944 −100% | 4 |
Lavincey50 sharesThis market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jeff Bezos means the market gives it about 100%.