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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump said by every candidate | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Biden said by every candidate | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Hamas 10 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Israel 10 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Ukraine 8 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Ceasefire 5 or more times | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| George Santos | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Putin said by every candidate | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Alien | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Terrorist 10 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Israel 20 or more times | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1051d | ACreed | Terrorist 10 or more times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,883 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 1051d | ACreed | Hamas 10 or more times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,451 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 1051d | Katniss Everdeen | Hamas 10 or more times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,047 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump said by every candidate means the market gives it about 100%.