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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Ledecky (USA) | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ariarne Titmus (AUS) | 0% | +31 pts | 0 pts | — · 91¢ | — | ended |
| Lani Pallister (AUS) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Simona Quadarella (ITA) | 0% | +41 pts | 0 pts | — · 84¢ | — | ended |
| Bingjie Li (CHN) | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811d | marketmaker580 | Katie Ledecky (USA) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,172 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 812d | 1697 | Katie Ledecky (USA) | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$168 +16% | 4 |
| 812d |  Skip-Earthwax | Katie Ledecky (USA) | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,616 | −$285 −18% | — |
| 812d | Skip-Earthwax | Simona Quadarella (ITA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,899 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 812d |  redbloodzcell2 fills | Bingjie Li (CHN) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,165 | +$139 +1.7% | 4 |
| 813d | userxya | Bingjie Li (CHN) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,949 | +$39 +1.3% | 4 |
| 813d | ggily611 | Bingjie Li (CHN) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$15 +1.3% | 4 |
| 813d | Empty-Flugelhorn | Bingjie Li (CHN) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,156 | +$144 +1.4% | 4 |
| 813d | KamalaPrezHolder4 fills | Katie Ledecky (USA) | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $25,395 | +$5,613 +22% | 9 |
| 813d |  MLBksRETARD2 fills | Katie Ledecky (USA) | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,786 | +$1,196 +25% | 7 |
| 813d | JohnFrumAmerica | Katie Ledecky (USA) | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$439 +22% | 9 |
| 814d |  kdubhotsauce2 fills | Katie Ledecky (USA) | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $6,277 | +$1,669 +27% | 8 |
| 819d | Disloyal-EndorsementNew account | Katie Ledecky (USA) | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,602 | +$819 +23% | 13 |
Violentdelights95 shares800m Freestyle (W)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Katie Ledecky (USA) means the market gives it about 100%.