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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | −1 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357d | denizz | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$79 +7.6% | 20 |
| 391d | September 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,720 | +$46 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 405d | ganatalak | September 30 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$86 +7.7% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abdul-Malik al-Houthi, current leader of the Yemeni Houthis, is removed from power for any length of time between Sepember 1, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Abdul-Malik will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.