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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +3 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d |  Contentious-Dinnerdate | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BuyYes100¢ | $9,288 | +$47 +0.5% | 4 |
| 83d |  lamyk | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$232 +21% | 4 |
| 112d | jjddr | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,222 | −$531 −24% | — |
| 119d | DualDelta2 fills | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,230 | +$463 +14% | 4 |
| 127d | DualDelta4 fills | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,453 | −$2,018 −27% | — |
| 186d |  JuliusNakamoto | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,486 | −$1,486 −100% | 4 |
| 187d | 0x8d37…1424 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | SellNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,617 | +$1,617 +100% | — |
| 187d | 0x8d37…1424 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,617 | −$1,617 −100% | 4 |
| 194d | JacobThomas7812 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,427 | −$1,427 −100% | 4 |
| 196d | RoadmanDon | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | −$1,181 −100% | 4 |
JuliusNakamoto12,393 shares
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b041,563 shares
Dr.PNL523 shares
rontro28287 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.