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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310d |  ciro2 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,499 | +$276 +2.0% | 4 |
| 311d | kcnyekchno | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,197 | −$100 −1.9% | — |
| 314d | RoadmanDon | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | +$60 +1.5% | 4 |
| 400d | kcnyekchno2 fills | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,820 | +$908 +10% | 4 |
| 579d |  JuliusNakamoto | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$529 +30% | 4 |
| 607d | halfquant | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$463 +33% | 4 |
nothinghappens2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.