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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | −38 pts | −5 pts | 4¢ · 15¢ (11¢) | — | in 70d |
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haoquan99 shares
TioSam27 shares
Mr.Burns18 shares
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04253 shares
DEGENKHAN35 shares
Rajiff65429 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 9%.