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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $80M | 0% | 0 pts | −88 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $50M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $100M | 0% | — | −83 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $140M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $160M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $120M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $250M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314d | deepmouse | $160M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,040 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 314d | deepmouse | $250M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,970 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 314d | noneaa | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,239 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 314d | btacc | $50M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,628 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 314d | Hpp3 | $80M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,357 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 314d | lok | $80M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,637 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 315d | barbwireheart | $140M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,417 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 315d | barbwireheart | $160M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,817 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 315d |  trader49 | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,040 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d |  inrvoice | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,682 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 315d | inrvoice | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 315d | yengaa | $120M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,469 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d |  no1yet | $140M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,505 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d |  hoooser | $50M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,320 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 315d | TopCrazyBetter | $80M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,123 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 315d | CallmeKaty | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,168 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d | SnapDragonZ | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,905 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d |  jellyskull | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d |  krabich2 fills | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,848 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d | freeliq | $50M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,043 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 315d |  turbodi7el | $50M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 315d | gstrader | $50M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,054 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 315d | gstrader | $80M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,229 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 315d | httff | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d | Pupchik1 | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,026 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 315d |  Arctic0x | $140M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,198 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 315d | lok | $100M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,460 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 315d | LinusB | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,434 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 315d | Hpp3 | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 315d | bryce33 | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,337 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d | bryce33 | $160M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,187 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d | bryce33 | $250M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d | turbodi7el | $50M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$17 +1.7% | 2 |
| 315d |  moksel | $120M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,986 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d | moksel | $140M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,701 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 315d | kevin-airdrop | $140M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,735 | +$20 +0.3% | 2 |
| 315d | TopCrazyBetter | $80M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 316d | Sorrowful-Enactment2 fills | $50M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,233 | +$209 +4.9% | 2 |
| 316d | Fluffy-Vignette | $80M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | −$22 −1.6% | — |
| 316d | Fluffy-Vignette | $50M | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$56 −5.3% | — |
| 316d | Hpp3 | $160M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,120 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 316d | Hpp3 | $140M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,153 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 316d |  UwO | $50M | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | −$126 −5.0% | — |
| 316d | kevin-airdrop | $120M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,939 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 316d |  Mzizouille | $100M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 |
| 316d | gstrader | $80M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,166 | +$174 +4.2% | 2 |
| 316d | Hpp3 | $140M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 316d | SemNome | $50M | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$293 +29% | 2 |
| 316d | Hijm777 | $80M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,874 | +$101 +5.4% | 2 |
| 316d | Quarterly-Full | $80M | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | −$169 −8.8% | — |
| 316d | kirillostrovski | $140M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$11 +0.8% | 2 |
| 316d |  skeelz | $50M | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$579 −47% | — |
| 316d | MingoNation | $80M | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$83 +8.2% | 2 |
| 316d | Kelvinonchain | $120M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$49 +4.2% | 2 |
| 317d | gstrader | $140M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$25 +2.0% | 2 |
| 317d |  0x2048Ba14eC0CAD6e8d308C25f6EFdfDE23b0f5 | $160M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,117 | −$57 −1.1% | — |
| 317d |  yashok | $120M | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | −$71 −5.3% | — |
| 317d | Hpp3 | $50M | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | +$1,005 +100% | — |
| 317d | laserbobo | $140M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,832 | +$117 +6.4% | 2 |
| 317d |  Crypto-Kucherov | $160M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | −$54 −2.4% | — |
Crytor630 shares
Retritus500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Almanak's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Almanak (https://x.com/almanak) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $80M means the market gives it about 0%.