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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260-279 | 100% | +53 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <120 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-219 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280-299 | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-319 | 0% | −52 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 320+ | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637d |  AgricultureSecretary | 240-259 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$14 +1.2% | 20 |
| 638d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | 320+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 638d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 320+ | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$85 +5.3% | 22 |
| 639d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | 200-219 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,634 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 640d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | 180-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,805 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 640d | Smallpeepee | 180-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | MyNameIsDarkKnight2 fills | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,038 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | abeautifulmind | 120-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,537 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 642d |  CHHOOSE | 180-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,455 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 642d | oneday1 | 160-179 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@cobratate), posts on X between January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 260-279 means the market gives it about 100%.