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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378d |  Chims | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,698 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 378d |  macrosteaks | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,575 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 378d |  brodiaga | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,409 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d |  davester187 fills | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,703 | +$225 +1.3% | 4 |
| 378d | Old-Fashioned-Outset4 fills | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,206 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 379d |  ondra123 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 379d | displaynym | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,656 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 379d | asxasd | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$20 +1.2% | 4 |
| 379d | Brokeboy7 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$18 +1.2% | 4 |
| 379d | macrosteaks | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$32 +2.1% | 4 |
| 379d | Simon4s | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | +$128 +7.5% | 4 |
BFBB1,111 shares
hodl111,029 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between September 18, 5:00 PM, and October 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until November 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.