Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 488d |  scrooge | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,494 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 488d | song87 | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | SellNo>99¢ | $10,209 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 488d | affs20791 | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | SellNo100¢ | $2,985 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 488d | m0x0m | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,244 | +$16 +0.3% | 20 |
| 488d |  UwO | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,000 | +$29 +0.3% | 20 |
| 488d | trinowaters | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,707 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 488d |  PredictionYogi3 fills | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,400 | +$524 +7.1% | 22 |
| 488d |  Parz1vaI | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$30 +2.0% | 20 |
| 488d |  elmcap2 | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,583 | +$160 +3.5% | 20 |
| 488d |  Funfzig | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$36 +3.5% | 20 |
| 489d | ModernSamson | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 489d | affs207912 fills | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,558 | +$341 +5.2% | 21 |
| 489d | flydartball | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,509 | +$514 +3.8% | 21 |
| 489d | Xmr | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$149 +4.5% | 21 |
| 489d | Yeahssd2 fills | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $14,401 | +$900 +6.2% | 22 |
| 489d |  betwick | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,870 | −$1,870 −100% | 35 |
| 489d | prometheus21 | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,130 | −$1,130 −100% | 31 |
| 489d |  BFBB | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | −$149 −9.9% | — |
| 489d | betwick | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,085 | +$192 +9.2% | 22 |
| 489d | Swerdlowzac | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 28 |
| 489d | jjumon2 | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $20,082 | +$1,687 +8.4% | 22 |
| 489d | B2twarminius | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $3,016 | −$3,016 −100% | 33 |
| 489d |  HMRevenueandCustoms | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | −$1,460 −100% | 30 |
| 489d | Rayes | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 30 |
| 489d | borntoolate.eth | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | +$265 +18% | 24 |
| 489d | song87 | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,374 | +$855 +9.1% | 22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 21, 8:00 PM ET and, and June 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an the US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.