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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +15 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 487d | Ordon | Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,976 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 515d | wre | Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025? | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$978 +95% | 20 |
| 571d | 0x4d56…2400 | Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025? | SellYes42¢ → 100¢ | $26,481 | −$36,569 −138% | — |
| 571d | Thalwen | Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025? | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $35,940 | −$35,940 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any registered Democrat who is an elected politician, party official (including local), government official, or government employee is convicted of voter fraud in a US court between February 24 and December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voter fraud constitutes any illegal act intended to interfere with the electoral process. This includes, but is not limited to, ballot tampering, fraudulent voter registration, duplicate voting, buying votes, etc. A qualifying Democrat must have been registered as a Democrat at the time they committed the crime they are convicted of, or otherwise at the time of their indictment. Convictions must be for criminal charges. Once an individual is convicted it qualifies for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of later appeals, etc. This market will resolve based on the first conviction in a qualifying case. The primary resolution source will be official court records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.