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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 651d | rpo | Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,045 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 651d |  pirateshere | Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,216 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 651d |  🍝👹 | Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,148 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 651d |  aenews2 | Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,673 | +$39 +0.5% | 20 |
| 651d | Ordon | Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,085 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 651d |  scottilicious7 fills | Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $12,333 | +$1,362 +11% | 20 |
BabyYoda121,000 shares
TimeTraveler500 sharesOn January 9, videos showing alleged acts of arson in Los Angeles county were reported (see: https://www.timesnownews.com/world/us/us-news/arsonists-caught-setting-fires-in-302-pico-in-santa-monica-video-amid-los-angeles-fire-surfaces-article-117073863). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is arrested in connection with starting fires in Los Angeles county between January 7, and January 9, by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Actions such as questioning or detention without an individual formally coming under arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.