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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | 100% | +35 pts | +88 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Jannik Sinner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Alexander Zverev | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · 4¢ | — | — |
| Andrey Rublev | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Casper Ruud | 0% | −4 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Taylor Fritz | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | — |
| Tommy Paul | 0% | −5 pts | +2 pts | — · 7¢ | — | — |
| Ugo Humbert | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Holger Rune | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Karen Khachanov | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 4¢ | — | — |
| Sebastian Korda | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Arthur Fils | 0% | −18 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Nicolas Jarry | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Alexander Bublik | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jack Draper | 0% | +19 pts | — | — · 44¢ | — | — |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 0% | −14 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Frances Tiafoe | 0% | −4 pts | −48 pts | — · 5¢ | — | — |
| Gael Monfils | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Adrian Mannarino | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jordan Thompson | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Luciano Darderi | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | — |
| Mariano Navone | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | — |
| Marcos Giron | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tomas Machac | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Pedro Martinez | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Nuno Borges | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · 25¢ | — | — |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0% | +22 pts | +21 pts | — · 50¢ | — | — |
| Cameron Norrie | 0% | −15 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Fabian Marozsan | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | — |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Alex Michelsen | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · 4¢ | — | — |
| Alexei Popyrin | 0% | −2 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Roman Safiullin | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Denis Shapovalov | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | — |
| Gabriel Diallo | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Milos Raonic | 0% | +14 pts | — | — · 32¢ | — | — |
| Kei Nishikori | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Vasek Pospisil | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Dusan Lajovic | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0% | +16 pts | — | — · 47¢ | — | — |
| Corentin Moutet | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jaume Munar | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0% | −36 pts | −5 pts | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Dominik Koepfer | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | — |
| Max Purcell | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Aleksandar Vukic | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Marton Fucsovics | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Hugo Gaston | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Federico Coria | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Sumit Nagal | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0% | −5 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Rinky Hijikata | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | — |
| Jakub Mensik | 0% | −15 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Christopher O'Connell | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Daniel Altmaier | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Rafael Jodar | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Learner Tien | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d | jorgesaveiro | Ben Shelton | SellYes>99¢ | $1,040 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | lIllIlllIlIl | Brandon Nakashima | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,140 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 71d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Ben Shelton | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$660 +49% | 4 |
| 72d | hamlo | Ben Shelton | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,193 | −$1,193 −100% | 4 |
| 72d | Gaditima2 fills | Rafael Jodar | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $2,291 | +$1,346 +59% | 4 |
| 73d |  CosmicCedar | Jakub Mensik | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 73d | ananisto | Rafael Jodar | SellNo59¢ → 100¢ | $2,915 | −$2,025 −69% | — |
| 73d | ndb1 | Arthur Fils | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,608 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 73d |  cruzzzz | Luciano Darderi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,306 | +$27 +0.5% | 4 |
| 73d | chuchita | Rafael Jodar | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,340 | +$1,506 +28% | 4 |
| 76d | Karammmba | Rafael Jodar | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$367 −35% | — |
| 76d | zxc368 | Nuno Borges | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,854 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 76d | Wise-Phenotype | Rafael Jodar | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 4 |
| 76d | weeeskies | Rafael Jodar | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$184 +18% | 4 |
| 79d | Gaditima3 fills | Ben Shelton | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $4,169 | −$4,169 −100% | 4 |
| 79d | limitless00 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | +$19 +1.2% | 4 |
| 79d |  macrosteaks | Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$112 +8.4% | 4 |
| 79d | mantre2 fills | Alexander Zverev | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,548 +31% | 4 |
| 81d | simbich | Roman Safiullin | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,110 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 81d | simbich | Grigor Dimitrov | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,090 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 81d | bromberg | Casper Ruud | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$32 +3.1% | 4 |
TheMasterMind200 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 National Bank Open (ATP Masters 1000, Montreal), currently scheduled for August 2 – August 13, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the ATP Tour.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ben Shelton means the market gives it about 100%.