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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 Winner | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 Winner | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Numb-Ramie | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $3,495 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | luminaarx | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki91¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$133 +9.9% | 5 |
| 11d | bestevertodoit | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyFacundo Acosta32¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | xabidaking | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyFacundo Acosta27¢ → 0¢ | $1,112 | −$1,112 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | Numb-Ramie | Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki53¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | +$1,645 +89% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Facundo Acosta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki means the market gives it about 0%.