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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 2 Winner | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d | Pocho1530 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | MMzz398 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $12,296 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | xabidaking | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $4,915 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | afraz | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $10,143 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | moonwing | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $1,265 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 70d |  0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar95¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | −$72 −4.9% | — |
| 70d | 0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar98¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | +$25 +1.6% | 4 |
| 70d | Afh1994 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar98¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | −$23 −2.0% | — |
| 70d | swisstony2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar98¢ → 100¢ | $2,946 | +$57 +1.9% | 4 |
| 70d | Heaterrr | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar98¢ → 100¢ | $1,752 | −$28 −1.6% | — |
| 70d | brandonrordi | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar98¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$38 +1.8% | 4 |
| 70d | User.0xE | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$60 −3.1% | — |
| 70d | afraz | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar91¢ → 100¢ | $9,239 | +$914 +9.9% | 5 |
| 70d | Lorolorota09 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar90¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | −$172 −11% | — |
| 70d | De-Damodar-Daar-Ma-Paani2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar88¢ → 100¢ | $8,088 | −$1,083 −13% | — |
| 70d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar88¢ → 100¢ | $2,259 | −$308 −14% | — |
| 70d | 1234162 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar88¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | −$216 −14% | — |
| 70d | Netrol | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic37¢ → 0¢ | $2,024 | −$2,024 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | jiiivi655 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic43¢ → 0¢ | $1,695 | −$1,695 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | afraz | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic63¢ → 0¢ | $3,256 | −$3,256 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | Vigilant-Environment | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic70¢ → 0¢ | $7,240 | −$7,240 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | ssj3 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic70¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | BlueBase-568 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic64¢ → 0¢ | $1,920 | −$1,920 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | jrneymar | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic68¢ → 0¢ | $2,270 | −$2,270 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | MMzz398 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar32¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$6,473 +216% | 6 |
| 70d | Anidood | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic74¢ → 0¢ | $2,664 | −$2,664 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | mamee2 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic69¢ → 0¢ | $2,001 | −$2,001 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | UsagiMagi | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic68¢ → 0¢ | $4,556 | −$4,556 −100% | 6 |
| 70d |  FTX2.02 fills | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar60¢ → 100¢ | $2,987 | +$2,031 +68% | 6 |
| 70d | alaskabaked | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar59¢ → 100¢ | $8,600 | +$6,085 +71% | 6 |
| 70d | kibanachi | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic45¢ → 0¢ | $3,846 | −$3,846 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | 0xa0f2…18486 fills | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar57¢ → 100¢ | $6,776 | +$5,114 +75% | 6 |
| 70d | xabidaking | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar60¢ → 100¢ | $2,952 | +$1,968 +67% | 6 |
| 70d | 0xkainandabel2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAguilar78¢ → 100¢ | $3,568 | +$981 +27% | 5 |
| 70d | De-Damodar-Daar-Ma-Paani5 fills | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar59¢ → 100¢ | $7,311 | +$5,124 +70% | 6 |
| 70d | Rash-Copying | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar58¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$4,257 +71% | 6 |
| 70d | Ditto321 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic43¢ → 0¢ | $2,467 | −$2,467 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | BaseballBill | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic43¢ → 0¢ | $3,379 | −$3,379 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAguilar77¢ → 100¢ | $4,762 | +$1,390 +29% | 6 |
| 70d |  TennisLove6 fills | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAguilar77¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$6,003 +30% | 6 |
| 70d | blackworgen | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar56¢ → 100¢ | $4,480 | +$3,520 +79% | 6 |
| 70d | 1234162 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar55¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,064 +82% | 6 |
| 71d | k56 | Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar54¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$1,022 +85% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Marin Cilic in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic means the market gives it about 100%.