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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 Winner | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 Winner | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 Winner | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 38.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 36.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 40.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 Winner | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114d | johnnnnnnn | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 114d | Humble-Colonization | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,058 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 114d | Artfulone | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $4,457 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 114d | Reasonable-Quota | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,421 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 114d | mm12310 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 114d | Reasonable-Quota | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev98¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$23 +1.6% | 4 |
| 114d | swisstony6 fills | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev94¢ → 100¢ | $16,767 | +$1,070 +6.4% | 4 |
| 114d | 0xb57e…ffe8 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 3 Winner | SellMedvedev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 114d | omnibus-076daa | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev82¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$248 +22% | 5 |
| 114d | flatbarrel | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $3,876 | +$969 +25% | 5 |
| 114d | johnnnnnnn | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev92¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$104 +8.7% | 5 |
| 114d | Humble-Colonization2 fills | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev93¢ → 100¢ | $11,256 | +$864 +7.7% | 4 |
| 114d |  alpheclabs | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 Winner | SellMedvedev>99¢ | $1,194 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 114d | jarosbill | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $2,038 | +$509 +25% | 5 |
| 114d | mm12310 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 5 |
| 114d | Artfulone | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $2,587 | +$647 +25% | 5 |
| 114d |  igot50k | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev79¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$318 +27% | 5 |
| 114d | saltibiscoti | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev82¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$304 +22% | 5 |
| 114d | tennistrader20 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar24¢ → 0¢ | $3,183 | −$3,183 −100% | 6 |
| 114d | takemon | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev81¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$950 +23% | 5 |
| 114d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev87¢ → 100¢ | $6,961 | +$1,040 +15% | 5 |
| 114d | Liverpool1 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev95¢ → 100¢ | $20,400 | +$1,074 +5.3% | 4 |
| 115d | jtwyslljy | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 4 |
| 115d | dv-pm | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev95¢ → 100¢ | $8,787 | +$462 +5.3% | 4 |
| 115d | BillBenter2026 | Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev95¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$84 +5.3% | 4 |
Guguta77716,840 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev means the market gives it about 0%.