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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 Winner | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | Dishonest-Fedelini | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $2,444 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | MarinM | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $1,229 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | neutralwave23 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $2,744 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | yupiiiiiiiii | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $20,665 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 78d | swisstony3 fills | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar66¢ → 100¢ | $11,596 | +$5,871 +51% | 6 |
| 78d | axelfoster | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar99¢ → 100¢ | $2,110 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 78d | SchruteBucks | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar96¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | −$99 −4.2% | — |
| 78d | pammbettingbeta | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar92¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$144 +8.7% | 5 |
| 78d | hellonewday | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar85¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$181 −18% | — |
| 78d | pleasegivememoney888 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar85¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$188 −18% | — |
| 78d | redfox666 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar85¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$181 −18% | — |
| 78d | chicken123455 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar85¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | −$178 −18% | — |
| 78d | flatbarrel | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar80¢ → 100¢ | $4,843 | +$1,198 +25% | 5 |
| 78d | SchruteBucks | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar80¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$540 +25% | 5 |
| 78d | pleasegivememoney888 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar80¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$251 +25% | 5 |
| 78d | Rash-Copying | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen24¢ → 0¢ | $4,500 | −$4,500 −100% | 6 |
| 78d |  itskkoma | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar56¢ → 100¢ | $2,863 | +$2,249 +79% | 6 |
| 78d |  FTX2.0 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar61¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$767 +64% | 6 |
| 78d | Eddd1x | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar44¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$2,036 +127% | 6 |
| 78d |  alpheclabs | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner | SellMichelsen>99¢ | $2,641 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | paquitomillonario2 fills | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen64¢ → 0¢ | $4,321 | −$4,321 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | Reliable-Giggle | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen63¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | +$1,410 +100% | — |
| 78d | sbimbg | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar36¢ → 100¢ | $2,912 | +$5,176 +178% | 6 |
| 78d | eokho | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar35¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$2,083 −186% | — |
| 78d | C63AMG | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar66¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | +$1,025 +52% | 6 |
| 78d | Blushing-Creative | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar53¢ → 100¢ | $2,406 | +$2,133 +89% | 6 |
| 78d | Arabiam | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar64¢ → 100¢ | $3,072 | +$1,728 +56% | 6 |
| 78d | 12f842n2e76 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen36¢ → 0¢ | $1,216 | +$1,216 +100% | — |
| 78d | phredmoz | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen45¢ → 0¢ | $1,642 | +$1,642 +100% | — |
| 78d | phredmoz | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen37¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | quackerandqj | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner | BuyAguilar49¢ → 0¢ | $2,190 | −$2,190 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | paquitomillonario | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar91¢ → 100¢ | $3,754 | +$371 +9.9% | 5 |
| 78d | Arcus-AI | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar74¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | −$619 −35% | — |
| 78d | Bisonterojo26 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar85¢ → 100¢ | $1,606 | −$283 −18% | — |
| 78d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar59¢ → 100¢ | $9,171 | +$6,481 +71% | 6 |
| 78d | AGUGava | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar57¢ → 100¢ | $6,427 | −$4,848 −75% | — |
| 78d | AV23IUa | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar63¢ → 100¢ | $40,000 | +$23,754 +59% | 6 |
| 78d |  eskk | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen42¢ → 0¢ | $3,360 | −$3,360 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | ATPlegend | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar65¢ → 100¢ | $3,704 | +$2,014 +54% | 6 |
| 78d | triplenicks | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen37¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | Aged-Pacemaker | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen31¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | eokho | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar81¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$372 +23% | 5 |
| 78d |  RN1 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen22¢ → 0¢ | $1,594 | −$1,594 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | hurrican | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar80¢ → 100¢ | $13,000 | +$3,250 +25% | 5 |
| 78d | Arcus-AI | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 6 |
| 78d |  TRCM | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar58¢ → 100¢ | $5,220 | +$3,780 +72% | 6 |
| 78d | Rash-Copying | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar53¢ → 100¢ | $14,651 | −$12,852 −88% | — |
| 78d | swisstony2 fills | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen54¢ → 0¢ | $3,913 | −$3,913 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | Bisonterojo26 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar53¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$1,025 +89% | 6 |
| 78d | neutralwave23 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar60¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | +$1,044 +67% | 6 |
| 78d | mamee2 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen41¢ → 0¢ | $3,809 | −$3,809 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | AGUGava | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar46¢ → 100¢ | $9,200 | +$10,800 +117% | 6 |
| 78d | afraz | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen71¢ → 0¢ | $1,431 | −$1,431 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | Rash-Copying | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar29¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$19,503 +244% | 6 |
| 78d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAguilar53¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$973 +88% | 6 |
| 78d | NewTeamSosed5 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen72¢ → 0¢ | $2,841 | −$2,841 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | NewTeamSosed | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen72¢ → 0¢ | $2,160 | −$2,160 −100% | 6 |
| 78d |  fRibrenlc | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar28¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$3,312 +257% | 6 |
| 78d |  samo27 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen73¢ → 0¢ | $1,205 | −$1,205 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | sunnyhussain96 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen73¢ → 0¢ | $5,475 | −$5,475 −100% | 6 |
one8tyfive15,463 shareseskk11,790 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alex Michelsen in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen means the market gives it about 100%.