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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | egebar | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | SellLearner Tien>99¢ | $3,816 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | AV23IUa | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | SellLearner Tien>99¢ | $59,940 | −$60 −0.1% | — |
| 73d |  stormpunter | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | SellLearner Tien>99¢ | $13,004 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | Shelby2999 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | SellLearner Tien>99¢ | $1,043 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | xabidaking | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | SellLearner Tien>99¢ | $5,079 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | mojeimeje | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien>99¢ | $4,855 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 73d | BunCaCham | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien>99¢ | $24,652 | +$53 +0.2% | 4 |
| 73d |  hd777 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien99¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | +$14 +0.9% | 4 |
| 73d | swisstony5 fills | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien94¢ → 100¢ | $9,488 | +$590 +6.2% | 4 |
| 73d | bot42 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien87¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$182 +15% | 5 |
| 73d | vgybhu | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien70¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$1,500 +43% | 6 |
| 73d |  RN1 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien54¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | +$2,447 +85% | 6 |
| 73d | Substantial-Service | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar50¢ → 0¢ | $27,384 | −$27,384 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | ferrariChampions2026 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar50¢ → 0¢ | $1,712 | −$1,712 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | Netrol2 fills | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien50¢ → 100¢ | $6,609 | +$6,492 +98% | 6 |
| 73d |  tradecraft | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar54¢ → 0¢ | $3,451 | −$3,451 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | SchruteBucks | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar54¢ → 0¢ | $1,944 | −$1,944 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | 0x87b5…0fce | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar51¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | bigwhale1337 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar36¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | Bhaveshloser5471 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien66¢ → 100¢ | $1,741 | +$897 +52% | 6 |
| 73d | blackworgen | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien66¢ → 100¢ | $6,224 | +$3,206 +52% | 6 |
| 73d | stormpunter2 fills | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien65¢ → 100¢ | $8,502 | +$4,516 +53% | 6 |
| 73d | xabidaking | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien65¢ → 100¢ | $3,305 | +$1,779 +54% | 6 |
| 73d | Lorolorota09 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien65¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$541 +54% | 6 |
| 74d | comon119 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien65¢ → 100¢ | $4,729 | +$2,546 +54% | 6 |
| 74d | ferrariChampions2026 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyLearner Tien64¢ → 100¢ | $13,145 | +$7,394 +56% | 6 |
| 74d | jtwyslljy | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar36¢ → 0¢ | $2,076 | −$2,076 −100% | 6 |
| 74d | lobbb1 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner | BuyTien62¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,452 +61% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien means the market gives it about 0%.