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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Musetti | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 344d |  DaisyFarm | Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | SellUnder 2.5>99¢ | $2,597 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 344d |  barocco | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $2,728 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | Fuzzy-Peace | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $2,797 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | RealSK | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $2,081 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 344d |  NadyaSuleman | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $1,265 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 344d |  Myname2025 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $1,478 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | Patienceiskey09 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $3,398 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | Bobhahaha | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $10,095 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | mudman88 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $17,622 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | S-Works | Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder 2.5>99¢ | $1,625 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d |  sleepy-panda | Match O/U 21.5 | BuyUnder>99¢ | $2,325 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d | sleepy-panda | Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder 2.5>99¢ | $3,317 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d | jktx | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $1,704 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | yytpo | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $13,258 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | 0x9792…0812 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $7,701 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | JigglyPuff2 fills | Set 1 O/U 10.5 | BuyUnder>99¢ | $13,164 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d | 0x72c8…f18d | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $7,487 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | dcunhao | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | Dearest-Remains | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | tcp2 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $2,030 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | JigglyPuff | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz>99¢ | $12,909 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d | h00neybal | Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Musetti | BuyAlcaraz>99¢ | $2,418 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d | Pricey-Loophole | Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Musetti | BuyAlcaraz>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d |  middleoftheocean | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz99¢ → 100¢ | $49,913 | +$504 +1.0% | 4 |
| 344d | swisstony5 fills | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $28,167 | +$860 +3.1% | 4 |
| 344d | jinsanity | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz99¢ → 100¢ | $23,766 | +$240 +1.0% | 4 |
| 344d | 0xendo | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz98¢ → 100¢ | $2,042 | −$42 −2.0% | — |
| 344d | Netscape2 fills | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $4,631 | −$167 −3.6% | — |
| 344d |  chicken-joe | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz99¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 344d |  nasa22 | Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Musetti | BuyAlcaraz>99¢ | $1,046 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d | Netscape2 fills | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz90¢ → 100¢ | $6,307 | +$693 +11% | 5 |
| 344d | vangadamus | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $7,862 | +$278 +3.5% | 4 |
| 344d | fingercrossed1 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$49 +3.9% | 4 |
| 344d | BlindOrangutan | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$60 +4.2% | 4 |
| 344d | yytpo | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $12,818 | +$454 +3.5% | 4 |
| 344d | curie15 fills | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz90¢ → 100¢ | $16,838 | +$1,912 +11% | 5 |
| 344d | RealSK | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$83 +4.2% | 4 |
| 344d | barocco | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $2,649 | +$82 +3.1% | 4 |
| 344d | 0xendo | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$83 +4.2% | 4 |
| 344d | tgrdy | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz94¢ → 100¢ | $5,669 | +$362 +6.4% | 4 |
| 344d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$120 +6.4% | 4 |
| 344d | S-Works2 fills | Set 1 O/U 9.5 | BuyOver>99¢ | $3,027 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d | Myname2025 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$192 +15% | 5 |
| 344d | stefivz | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$171 +14% | 5 |
| 344d | Pypypy22237 fills | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz91¢ → 100¢ | $68,991 | +$6,423 +9.3% | 5 |
| 344d | Fuzzy-Peace | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz90¢ → 100¢ | $2,519 | +$280 +11% | 5 |
| 344d | worldclassdegen | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz89¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$195 +12% | 5 |
| 344d | piastri | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz86¢ → 100¢ | $1,751 | +$285 +16% | 5 |
| 344d |  sunflowaa | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyMusetti14¢ → 0¢ | $1,115 | −$1,115 −100% | 6 |
| 344d | YontyBull | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,494 +15% | 5 |
| 344d | qweqwert | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $6,090 | +$910 +15% | 5 |
| 344d | Letmewin | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyMusetti14¢ → 0¢ | $2,720 | −$2,720 −100% | 6 |
| 344d | DaisyFarm | Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder 2.577¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$600 +30% | 6 |
| 344d | swy01 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $3,532 | +$528 +15% | 5 |
| 344d | NadyaSuleman | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$204 +15% | 5 |
| 344d | mudman88 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $15,347 | +$2,293 +15% | 5 |
| 344d | lucimuis | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $5,453 | +$815 +15% | 5 |
| 344d | Pingotito | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $26,545 | +$3,967 +15% | 5 |
| 344d | Unripe-Revolver | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellAlcaraz86¢ → 100¢ | $4,128 | −$672 −16% | — |
| 344d | Strange-Mantel | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyAlcaraz86¢ → 100¢ | $5,160 | +$840 +16% | 5 |
Sharkbets.pro8,000 sharesThis market refers on the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti in the ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group, scheduled for November 11 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti means the market gives it about 100%.