Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% | +40 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d | drrd | Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi | SellRio Noguchi54¢ → 100¢ | $3,813 | −$3,248 −85% | — |
| 66d | HomeRunHazard | Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi77¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$384 +30% | 6 |
| 66d | BaltazarGombka | Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi71¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$523 +42% | 6 |
| 66d | drrd2 fills | Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi53¢ → 100¢ | $3,527 | +$3,114 +88% | 6 |
| 66d | bigoon | Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi61¢ → 100¢ | $6,097 | +$3,903 +64% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez and Rio Noguchi in the Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 6:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez' if Luis Carlos Alvarez advances against Rio Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Completed Match means the market gives it about 100%.