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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 Winner | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 Winner | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | — · 99¢ | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54d | pelik | Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli | BuyFederico Arnaboldi>99¢ | $61,800 | +$62 +0.1% | 4 |
| 54d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h352 fills | Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli | SellFederico Arnaboldi>99¢ | $35,537 | −$36 −0.1% | — |
| 54d | Substantial-Service | Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli | BuyFederico Bondioli5¢ → 0¢ | $1,779 | −$1,779 −100% | 6 |
| 54d |  RN12 fills | Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli | BuyFederico Bondioli26¢ → 0¢ | $10,400 | −$10,400 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli | BuyFederico Arnaboldi59¢ → 100¢ | $5,386 | +$3,727 +69% | 6 |
| 54d | yesmate | Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli | BuyFederico Arnaboldi28¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$4,110 +257% | 6 |
Mother-Teresa690 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Federico Bondioli in the Como, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Federico Bondioli. This market will resolve to 'Federico Bondioli' if Federico Bondioli advances against Federico Arnaboldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli means the market gives it about 100%.