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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d | Artfulone | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $5,254 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | JONOBATBAR | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,745 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 174d |  cryptojo | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $21,616 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | Byebyepol | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,272 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | NightStalker106 | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,553 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | LFP272 | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,252 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | Bigboybandi | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $12,723 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | moonwing | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,945 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | cryptojo | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | BuyMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,616 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 174d | swisstony | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | BuyMatteo Arnaldi98¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$24 +2.1% | 4 |
| 174d | moonwing | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | BuyMatteo Arnaldi98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 |
| 174d | 0x0165…8235 | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | BuyGianluca Cadenasso48¢ → 0¢ | $1,514 | −$1,514 −100% | 6 |
| 174d |  TRCM3 fills | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | BuyGianluca Cadenasso59¢ → 0¢ | $7,941 | −$7,941 −100% | 6 |
| 174d | Artfulone2 fills | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | BuyMatteo Arnaldi53¢ → 100¢ | $2,778 | +$2,481 +89% | 6 |
| 174d | Lne89 | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | BuyGianluca Cadenasso76¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 6 |
| 174d | TRCM | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | BuyMatteo Arnaldi63¢ → 100¢ | $1,817 | +$1,067 +59% | 6 |
| 175d | Bigboybandi2 fills | Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso | BuyMatteo Arnaldi64¢ → 100¢ | $8,110 | +$4,625 +57% | 4 |
one8tyfive4,698 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Gianluca Cadenasso in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso means the market gives it about 100%.