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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | Exalted-Evocation2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | SellTaylor Fritz>99¢ | $3,892 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | BuyTaylor Fritz94¢ → 100¢ | $3,632 | +$228 +6.3% | 4 |
| 14d |  GameSetMatched | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | SellTaylor Fritz97¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | −$46 −3.4% | — |
| 14d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | BuyTaylor Fritz85¢ → 100¢ | $13,291 | +$2,394 +18% | 5 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | BuyTaylor Fritz96¢ → 100¢ | $4,871 | +$205 +4.2% | 4 |
| 14d |  MaoZeDonK | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5 | BuyUnder54¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$1,538 +85% | 6 |
| 14d | Likely-FeedbackNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | SellTaylor Fritz90¢ → 100¢ | $2,806 | −$312 −11% | — |
| 14d | swy01 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | BuyTaylor Fritz85¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$267 +18% | 5 |
| 14d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | BuyTaylor Fritz77¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$896 +30% | 6 |
| 14d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | SellMatteo Arnaldi22¢ → 0¢ | $2,141 | +$2,141 +100% | — |
| 14d | Likely-FeedbackNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | BuyTaylor Fritz78¢ → 100¢ | $2,432 | +$686 +28% | 14 |
| 14d | madkkee2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | BuyTaylor Fritz78¢ → 100¢ | $4,572 | +$1,264 +28% | 5 |
| 14d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | BuyMatteo Arnaldi23¢ → 0¢ | $1,610 | −$1,610 −100% | 6 |
| 14d |  XDownloadtrump | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | BuyTaylor Fritz78¢ → 100¢ | $4,680 | +$1,320 +28% | 5 |
eskk3,776 shares
12xmrbolt1,962 shares
no1dodgersfan1,721 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz means the market gives it about 0%.