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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner | 50% | +7 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +11 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −6 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +10 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +26 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −77 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +10 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +8 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +16 pts | — | 49¢ · 100¢ (51¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88d | whosay | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner | SellArnaldi49¢ → 50¢ | $2,007 | −$41 −2.0% | — |
| 88d | hurrican | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellLorenzo Musetti>99¢ | $7,493 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 88d | LITTLEBETS | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellLorenzo Musetti>99¢ | $3,297 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 88d | THEBIGBETS | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellLorenzo Musetti>99¢ | $20,125 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 88d | 0x4773…2289 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellLorenzo Musetti>99¢ | $2,188 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 88d | Affectionate-Ocelot-Convert | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellLorenzo Musetti>99¢ | $1,627 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 88d | afraz99 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellLorenzo Musetti>99¢ | $2,229 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 88d | hurrican | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti92¢ → 100¢ | $6,900 | +$600 +8.7% | 5 |
| 88d | Steveti | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti90¢ → 100¢ | $1,917 | +$213 +11% | 5 |
| 88d | 0x4773…2289 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti91¢ → 100¢ | $1,993 | +$197 +9.9% | 5 |
| 88d | afraz99 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$198 +9.9% | 5 |
| 88d |  Marcoli | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti91¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$1,488 +9.9% | 5 |
| 88d | Affectionate-Ocelot-Convert | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti90¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$166 +11% | 6 |
| 88d | Pastourmas | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti89¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$618 +12% | 5 |
| 88d | Pocho1530 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti89¢ → 100¢ | $4,468 | +$552 +12% | 5 |
| 88d | kahe | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti88¢ → 100¢ | $26,000 | +$3,608 +14% | 5 |
| 88d | 0F622 fills | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti84¢ → 100¢ | $5,910 | +$1,090 +18% | 5 |
| 88d | Rash-Copying | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | SellLorenzo Musetti81¢ → 100¢ | $17,116 | −$3,935 −23% | — |
| 88d | 0xa0f2…18483 fills | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti71¢ → 100¢ | $4,260 | +$1,740 +41% | 6 |
| 88d |  RN12 fills | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti79¢ → 100¢ | $3,269 | +$869 +27% | 5 |
| 88d | HomeRunHazard | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti79¢ → 100¢ | $3,678 | +$978 +27% | 5 |
| 88d | Genuine-Turning-Research | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti79¢ → 100¢ | $6,260 | +$1,671 +27% | 5 |
| 88d | THEBIGBETS | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti64¢ → 100¢ | $12,893 | +$7,252 +56% | 6 |
| 88d | Sick-Backyard | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyMatteo Arnaldi37¢ → 0¢ | $1,646 | −$1,646 −100% | 6 |
| 88d | ferrariChampions2026 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner | BuyMusetti60¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$3,000 +67% | 6 |
| 88d | Rash-Copying | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti62¢ → 100¢ | $13,000 | +$8,035 +62% | 6 |
| 88d |  fRibrenlc | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyMatteo Arnaldi41¢ → 0¢ | $6,442 | −$6,442 −100% | 6 |
| 88d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti60¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$775 +66% | 6 |
| 88d | Nanijau | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti61¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$799 +64% | 6 |
| 88d | comon119 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyMatteo Arnaldi41¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 6 |
| 89d | Substantial-Service | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BuyLorenzo Musetti59¢ → 100¢ | $3,911 | +$2,718 +69% | 4 |
one8tyfive10,400 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Musetti in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti means the market gives it about 0%.