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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 Winner | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 38.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 40.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 36.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d | NiNo999 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | SellOver 3.5>99¢ | $6,122 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 147d | bigwhale1337 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $4,701 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | igetlitty | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellArnaldi>99¢ | $7,095 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | Reasonable-Quota | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | Marios15t | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,103 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | 0xdeff…78f8 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,321 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | Sixty9 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $2,035 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | Helpful-Lord | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,475 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 148d |  Joking22 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $3,560 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | blindsamsam | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,227 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | kkookkoo | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $8,485 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | NightStalker106 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,127 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | lovelife123 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $2,173 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | Lne89 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $3,623 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | willlyouare | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $8,815 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | swisstony5 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi61¢ → 100¢ | $17,153 | +$10,918 +64% | 6 |
| 148d |  ZaiZoiBele | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi99¢ → 100¢ | $2,662 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
| 148d | Dude2137 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 148d | jiiivi655 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi99¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 148d | gabmlergao | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi99¢ → 100¢ | $2,712 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 148d | Lne89 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi91¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$326 +9.9% | 5 |
| 148d | Afh1994 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi83¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | −$426 −21% | — |
| 148d | willlyouare | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi86¢ → 100¢ | $7,589 | +$1,235 +16% | 5 |
| 148d | macximus | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi86¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$168 +16% | 5 |
| 148d | Flimsy-Notebook5 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi67¢ → 100¢ | $8,294 | −$4,103 −49% | — |
| 148d |  CavaSoTasty3 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi64¢ → 100¢ | $3,364 | +$1,853 +55% | 6 |
| 148d | swisstony6 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas57¢ → 0¢ | $7,741 | −$7,741 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | timetowander2 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi53¢ → 100¢ | $3,106 | +$2,788 +90% | 6 |
| 148d | 70TOHEAVEN | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi59¢ → 100¢ | $2,065 | −$1,435 −69% | — |
| 148d | Ivolama | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi59¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | −$992 −69% | — |
| 148d | cordoba264 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas43¢ → 0¢ | $6,650 | −$6,650 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | Flimsy-Notebook2 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellStefanos Tsitsipas44¢ → 0¢ | $3,200 | +$3,200 +100% | — |
| 148d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi69¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | +$1,152 +46% | 6 |
| 148d | konners8008 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas32¢ → 0¢ | $1,796 | −$1,796 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | Ilgato2 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi68¢ → 100¢ | $5,018 | −$2,321 −46% | — |
| 148d | Flimsy-Notebook2 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi67¢ → 100¢ | $3,292 | +$1,641 +50% | 6 |
| 148d | Flimsy-Notebook3 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas48¢ → 0¢ | $3,997 | −$3,997 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | Ivolama | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi66¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | +$813 +51% | 6 |
| 148d | neutralwave232 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi61¢ → 100¢ | $2,892 | +$1,838 +64% | 6 |
| 148d | ferrariChampions20267 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas42¢ → 0¢ | $12,484 | −$12,484 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | 0x5d1d…afd23 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi46¢ → 100¢ | $7,693 | +$9,162 +119% | 6 |
| 148d | ferrariChampions20265 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi43¢ → 100¢ | $15,313 | +$20,151 +132% | 6 |
| 148d | tennis1488 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi53¢ → 100¢ | $3,490 | +$3,037 +87% | 6 |
| 148d | tennis1488 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellStefanos Tsitsipas44¢ → 0¢ | $3,609 | +$3,609 +100% | — |
| 148d |  RN12 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi54¢ → 100¢ | $2,512 | +$2,098 +84% | 6 |
| 148d | Joking22 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi53¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$1,664 +88% | 6 |
| 148d | Ilgato | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi53¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$953 +89% | 6 |
| 148d | 13126052 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi45¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$1,620 +120% | 6 |
| 148d | RN1 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas55¢ → 0¢ | $1,028 | −$1,028 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | gutif12 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas59¢ → 0¢ | $2,600 | −$2,600 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | Iconicsoundsdk | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas63¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 148d |  ronaldogoat69xx3 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi35¢ → 100¢ | $5,953 | +$11,078 +186% | 6 |
| 148d | kkookkoo | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi38¢ → 100¢ | $3,250 | +$5,244 +161% | 6 |
| 148d | CavaSoTasty | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas68¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | −$1,360 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | Mikee12 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas68¢ → 0¢ | $15,000 | −$15,000 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | timetowander | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SellMatteo Arnaldi32¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | −$2,888 −212% | — |
| 148d |  FantomasAzul | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas42¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 148d | Sixty9 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 6 |
| 148d | Nicksicko | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyMatteo Arnaldi72¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$424 +39% | 6 |
| 148d | johnny2342 fills | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BuyStefanos Tsitsipas43¢ → 0¢ | $8,858 | −$8,858 −100% | 6 |
gopfan224,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas means the market gives it about 100%.